Moderate Signal
59%

Flora vs Kuressaare — Prediction & Betting Tips

FFlora vs KuressaareK
5:00 pm · ·A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Home
LLWWW
4W 1D 4L
▲ Improving
Away
WWLWD
4W 2D 4L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 16th August 2026
1
Backing Flora to win
Flora
50%
Draw
30%
Kuressaare
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
74.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-15.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
9
Flora
1
Draws
0
Kuressaare
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Flora won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Flora
Metric
Kuressaare
1.3
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.3
33%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-1-4
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
44%
40%
3.2
Avg Goals
68%
Over 1.5
63%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
F0
0-0 3.8%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
F1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
F2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.4%
F3
3-0 3.7%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
F4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
F5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.1% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
1–0 6.8% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–0 6.2% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Flora Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kuressaare Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Flora
Overall
4.8
Scoring
4.4
Defence
4.8
Kuressaare
Overall
4.6
Scoring
7.0
Defence
5.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes18%
Home Win & BTTS No26%
Draw & BTTS Yes7%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.528%
Home Win & Under 2.516%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.525%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare0
Flora3
07.04.26
ML
Flora2
Kuressaare1
01.11.25
ML
Flora2
Kuressaare0
24.08.25
ML
Kuressaare1
Flora2
27.05.25
ML
Kuressaare1
Flora3
29.03.25
ML
Flora5
Kuressaare0
26.10.24
ML
Flora3
Kuressaare0
14.09.24
ML
Kuressaare3
Flora4
21.05.24
ML
Flora1
Kuressaare0
27.04.24
ML
Kuressaare2
Flora2
Recent Form
Flora
13.08.26
UECL
Flora0
Inter Escaldes4
L
06.08.26
UECL
Inter Escaldes2
Flora0
L
02.08.26
ML
Flora1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
23.07.26
UECL
Flora1
TNS0
W
17.07.26
ML
Flora1
Nomme Utd2
L
14.07.26
CL
Iberia 19992
Flora2
D
08.07.26
CL
Flora2
Iberia 19993
L
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare0
Flora3
W
28.06.26
ML
Levadia1
Flora2
W
Kuressaare
11.08.26
CUP
Kristiine0
Kuressaare8
W
07.08.26
ML
Kuressaare3
Harju JK Laagri2
W
02.08.26
ML
Paide1
Kuressaare0
L
23.07.26
CUP
Kuressaare5
Tartu Welco 21
W
19.07.26
ML
Kuressaare0
Kalju0
D
11.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd3
Kuressaare2
L
02.07.26
ML
Kuressaare0
Flora3
L
26.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kuressaare0
L
16.06.26
ML
Kuressaare0
Narva0
D
13.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Kuressaare3
W
Flora (Home)
13.08.26
UECL
Flora0
Inter Escaldes4
L
02.08.26
ML
Flora1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
23.07.26
UECL
Flora1
TNS0
W
17.07.26
ML
Flora1
Nomme Utd2
L
08.07.26
CL
Flora2
Iberia 19993
L
21.06.26
ML
Flora1
Paide2
L
13.06.26
ML
Flora1
Levadia3
L
05.05.26
CUP
Flora1
Narva0
W
30.04.26
ML
Flora5
Harju JK Laagri0
W
22.04.26
ML
Flora6
Narva0
W
Kuressaare (Away)
11.08.26
CUP
Kristiine0
Kuressaare8
W
02.08.26
ML
Paide1
Kuressaare0
L
11.07.26
ML
Nomme Utd3
Kuressaare2
L
26.06.26
ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Kuressaare0
L
13.06.26
ML
Harju JK Laagri2
Kuressaare3
W
31.05.26
ML
Paide1
Kuressaare1
D
08.05.26
ML
Tammeka1
Kuressaare0
L
25.04.26
ML
Nomme Utd2
Kuressaare1
L
18.04.26
ML
Narva1
Kuressaare2
W
07.04.26
ML
Flora2
Kuressaare1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Estonia Meistriliiga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.34, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Estonia Meistriliiga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Aug 2026, 6:41am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Flora vs Kuressaare?
Our selection is 1 — Flora to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Flora's current form?
Flora have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches.
How has Kuressaare been performing recently?
Kuressaare have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Flora lead with 9 wins versus Kuressaare's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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