Moderate Signal
54%

Al Ahli SC vs Abha — Prediction & Betting Tips

AAl Ahli SC vs AbhaA
7:00 pm · ·King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)
Home
WWDLL
5W 2D 3L
▲ Improving
Away
LLDLL
3W 2D 5L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 22nd August 2026
1
Backing Al Ahli SC to win
Al Ahli SC
60%
Draw
20%
Abha
20%
H Fair Odds
1.67
D Fair Odds
5
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
83.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-29.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
5
Al Ahli SC
2
Draws
3
Abha
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Al Ahli SC won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Al Ahli SC
Metric
Abha
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.4
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-2-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 4.8%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 9.0%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.0%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
A2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 9.8% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
2–0 8.5% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
1–0 9.0% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Al Ahli SC Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Abha Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Al Ahli SC
Overall
5.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
Abha
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
5.3
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes30%
Home Win & BTTS No20%
Draw & BTTS Yes12%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes18%
Away Win & BTTS No12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.520%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
18.05.24
SPL
Al Ahli SC5
Abha1
30.11.23
SPL
Abha0
Al Ahli SC6
31.10.23
KC
Al Ahli SC1
Abha2
22.05.22
SPL
Al Ahli SC1
Abha1
21.11.21
SPL
Abha2
Al Ahli SC0
25.05.21
SPL
Abha1
Al Ahli SC1
19.01.21
SPL
Al Ahli SC3
Abha0
04.09.20
SPL
Abha2
Al Ahli SC1
13.01.20
SPL
Al Ahli SC3
Abha1
19.12.08
SPL
Al Ahli SC2
Abha1
Recent Form
Al Ahli SC
17.08.26
KC
Al Anwar1
Al Ahli SC2
W
13.08.26
SPL
Al Diriyah0
Al Ahli SC1
W
28.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC1
Fulham1
D
28.07.26
CF
Portimonense2
Al Ahli SC0
L
24.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
L
19.07.26
CF
Rio Ave2
Al Ahli SC2
D
15.07.26
CF
Holstein Kiel4
Al Ahli SC1
L
20.05.26
SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Ahli SC4
W
16.05.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC3
Al Kholood0
W
11.05.26
SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Ahli SC2
W
Abha
16.08.26
KC
Al Orubah0
Abha (3-2)0
13.08.26
SPL
Abha1
Al Hazem2
L
31.07.26
CF
Rizespor0
Abha0
D
19.07.26
CF
Al Sharjah2
Abha1
L
13.05.26
DIV
Al Raed5
Abha1
L
09.05.26
DIV
Abha0
Al Adalah1
L
01.05.26
DIV
Al Diriyah2
Abha0
L
26.04.26
DIV
Abha3
Al Batin1
W
21.04.26
DIV
Al Taee1
Abha2
W
15.04.26
DIV
Abha1
Jeddah0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Saudi Professional League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.20, a call we are confident in at roughly 60,20,20%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Saudi Professional League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 22 Aug 2026, 6:52am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahli SC vs Abha?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Al Ahli SC's current form?
Al Ahli SC have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Abha been performing recently?
Abha have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahli SC lead with 5 wins versus Abha's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
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