Moderate Signal
52%

Al Ahli SC vs Al Riyadh — Prediction & Betting Tips

AAl Ahli SC vs Al RiyadhA
7:00 pm · ·King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)
Home
LLWWW
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
Away
WDLWL
4W 3D 3L
→ Steady
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 4th September 2026
1
Backing Al Ahli SC to win
Implied Prob
83.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-31.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
7
Al Ahli SC
1
Draws
2
Al Riyadh
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Ahli SC won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Al Ahli SC
Metric
Al Riyadh
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
4-2-4
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 6.4%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 10.7% model probability
2–1 9.8% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–0 9.4% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Al Ahli SC
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.0
Al Riyadh
Overall
4.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
4.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes19%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes12%
Draw & BTTS No12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes19%
Away Win & BTTS No19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.521%
Home Win & Under 2.517%
Draw & Over 2.513%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.521%
Away Win & Under 2.517%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
26.02.26
SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC1
30.10.25
SPL
Al Ahli SC1
Al Riyadh1
26.05.25
SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC1
26.01.25
SPL
Al Ahli SC5
Al Riyadh0
30.07.24
CF
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC2
25.04.24
SPL
Al Riyadh2
Al Ahli SC1
05.11.23
SPL
Al Ahli SC3
Al Riyadh0
12.03.23
DIV
Al Ahli SC0
Al Riyadh2
16.10.22
DIV
Al Riyadh0
Al Ahli SC2
05.01.19
KC
Al Ahli SC4
Al Riyadh0
Recent Form
Al Ahli SC
01.09.26
SPL
Al Hilal3
Al Ahli SC0
L
29.08.26
SPL
Al Kholood3
Al Ahli SC1
L
26.08.26
FIC
Al Ahli SC1
Auckland FC0
W
22.08.26
SPL
Al Ahli SC4
Abha0
W
17.08.26
KC
Al Anwar1
Al Ahli SC2
W
13.08.26
SPL
Al Diriyah0
Al Ahli SC1
W
28.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC1
Fulham1
D
28.07.26
CF
Portimonense2
Al Ahli SC0
L
24.07.26
CF
Al Ahli SC1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
L
19.07.26
CF
Rio Ave2
Al Ahli SC2
D
Al Riyadh
28.08.26
SPL
Al Riyadh1
Neom SC0
W
25.08.26
SPL
Al Shabab3
Al Riyadh3
D
21.08.26
SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Nassr4
L
17.08.26
KC
Al Zulfi0
Al Riyadh2
W
14.08.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq4
Al Riyadh2
L
27.07.26
CF
Al Riyadh2
Al-Gharafa2
D
21.05.26
SPL
Al Riyadh1
Al Okhdood0
W
15.05.26
SPL
Al Taawon1
Al Riyadh1
D
10.05.26
SPL
Al Riyadh1
Al Fateh0
W
04.05.26
SPL
Al Fayha4
Al Riyadh2
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Unknown League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.20, a call we are confident in at roughly 50%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 4 Sep 2026, 6:31am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Al Ahli SC vs Al Riyadh?
Our selection is 1 — Al Ahli SC to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Al Ahli SC's current form?
Al Ahli SC have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Riyadh been performing recently?
Al Riyadh have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Ahli SC lead with 7 wins versus Al Riyadh's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer