Moderate Signal
62%

Heracles vs De Graafschap — Prediction & Betting Tips

HHeracles vs De GraafschapD
7:00 pm · ·Asito Stadium (Almelo)
Home
WWWWL
6W 0D 4L
▼ Declining
Away
LLLDL
2W 1D 7L
→ Steady
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 4th September 2026
1
Backing Heracles to win
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-15.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Heracles to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals85%Over 1.5 Goals95%BTTS — Yes85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Heracles vs De Graafschap Date: Friday, 4th September 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Heracles to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 62% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
02Head to Head
7
Heracles
1
Draws
2
De Graafschap
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Heracles won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Heracles
Metric
De Graafschap
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.9
Goals Against / Game
3.5
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-0-4
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
4.8
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
H0
0-0 1.6%
0-1 2.5%
0-2 2.0%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 4.2%
1-1 6.5%
1-2 5.0%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
H2
2-0 5.4%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
H3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 7.1%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 1.1%
3-5 0.4%
H4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 4.6%
4-2 3.5%
4-3 1.8%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.2%
H5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 2.3%
5-2 1.8%
5-3 0.9%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 8.3% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
3–1 7.1% model probability
3–2 5.5% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Heracles
Overall
6.0
Scoring
8.0
Defence
3.7
De Graafschap
Overall
2.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
0.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes60%
Home Win & BTTS No11%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes20%
Away Win & BTTS No3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.560%
Home Win & Under 2.511%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.51%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.53%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
16.01.25
KNV
De Graafschap0
Heracles2
07.04.23
EER
De Graafschap5
Heracles3
07.10.22
EER
Heracles3
De Graafschap2
31.07.21
CF
Heracles2
De Graafschap2
22.08.20
CF
De Graafschap1
Heracles0
30.03.19
ERE
De Graafschap1
Heracles2
21.09.18
ERE
Heracles4
De Graafschap0
06.01.17
CF
Heracles2
De Graafschap0
23.01.16
ERE
Heracles2
De Graafschap1
24.10.15
ERE
De Graafschap0
Heracles1
Recent Form
Heracles
30.08.26
EER
Eindhoven FC1
Heracles3
W
24.08.26
EER
Jong Utrecht1
Heracles6
W
14.08.26
EER
Heracles3
Den Bosch2
W
07.08.26
EER
Venlo3
Heracles4
W
24.07.26
CF
Heracles3
Excelsior5
L
17.07.26
CF
Heracles2
FC Emmen0
W
08.07.26
CF
Heracles2
Groningen1
W
17.05.26
ERE
Heracles1
Groningen2
L
10.05.26
ERE
Telstar3
Heracles0
L
03.05.26
ERE
Zwolle1
Heracles0
L
De Graafschap
29.08.26
EER
De Graafschap1
Almere City4
L
23.08.26
EER
Venlo2
De Graafschap1
L
17.08.26
EER
De Graafschap2
Jong AZ5
L
09.08.26
EER
Helmond1
De Graafschap1
D
01.08.26
CF
De Graafschap1
Excelsior5
L
25.07.26
CF
De Graafschap4
Kifisia2
W
17.07.26
CF
De Graafschap3
Telstar6
L
12.07.26
CF
De Graafschap1
AEK Athens2
L
03.07.26
CF
Heerenveen7
De Graafschap2
L
27.06.26
CF
Utrecht1
De Graafschap2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Unknown League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Asito Stadium (Almelo), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.29, a call we are confident in at roughly 59. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 4 Sep 2026, 6:31am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Our selection is 1 — Heracles to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Heracles's current form?
Heracles have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has De Graafschap been performing recently?
De Graafschap have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Heracles lead with 7 wins versus De Graafschap's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer