Strong Signal
70%

Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr - Prediction & Betting Tips

AAl Faisaly vs Al NassrA
2:30 pm .- .Al Majma'ah Sports City (Al Majma'ah)
Home
DWLDD
1W 4D 5L
- Steady
Away
WWWLD
7W 1D 2L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 23rd October 2026
2
Backing Al Nassr to win
Implied Prob
82.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-12.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Al Nassr to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr Competition: Saudi Professional League Date: Friday, 23rd October 2026 KO: 2:30 pm Pick: 2 (Al Nassr to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 70% Model Correct Score: 1-2 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
3
Al Faisaly
2
Draws
5
Al Nassr
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Neutral Al Nassr won 5 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Al Faisaly
Metric
Al Nassr
1.1
Goals For / Game
2
2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
1-4-5
W - D - L
7-1-2
Win Rate
10%
70%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 7.3%
0-3 5.0%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.0%
A1
1-0 4.6%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.3%
1-5 1.4%
A2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.2%
2-5 0.9%
A3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 2.7%
3-2 2.7%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.4%
A4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-2 9.6% model probability
0-1 7.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
0-2 7.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Al Faisaly
Overall
2.2v
Scoring
3.7v
Defence
3.3v
Al Nassr
Overall
7.3^
Scoring
6.7^
Defence
6.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes7%
Home Win & BTTS No4%
Draw & BTTS Yes16%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes43%
Away Win & BTTS No23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.57%
Home Win & Under 2.53%
Draw & Over 2.517%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.546%
Away Win & Under 2.520%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
15.01.22
SPL
Al Nassr4
Al Faisaly0
19.08.21
SPL
Al Faisaly2
Al Nassr1
05.05.21
SPL
Al Nassr4
Al Faisaly3
04.04.21
KC
Al Nassr0
Al Faisaly1
31.12.20
SPL
Al Faisaly2
Al Nassr3
07.03.20
SPL
Al Faisaly3
Al Nassr2
06.11.19
SPL
Al Nassr2
Al Faisaly0
10.01.19
SPL
Al Faisaly2
Al Nassr2
14.09.18
SPL
Al Nassr2
Al Faisaly1
14.12.17
SPL
Al Nassr1
Al Faisaly1
Recent Form
Al Faisaly
19.10.26
SPL
Al Shabab2
Al Faisaly2
D
15.10.26
SPL
Al Faisaly3
Al Kholood2
W
11.09.26
SPL
Al Faisaly1
Al Ittihad3
L
08.09.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq0
Al Faisaly0
D
05.09.26
SPL
Al Faisaly0
Al Hazem0
D
30.08.26
SPL
Al Qadsiah3
Al Faisaly1
L
26.08.26
SPL
Al Faisaly1
Al Fateh1
D
21.08.26
SPL
Al Faisaly0
Neom SC2
L
18.08.26
KC
Al Faisaly1
Neom SC3
L
14.08.26
SPL
Al Hilal4
Al Faisaly2
L
Al Nassr
20.10.26
SPL
Al Nassr1
Neom SC0
W
12.10.26
CL
Al Nassr3
Neftchi Fargona1
W
09.10.26
SPL
Al Nassr3
Al Diriyah0
W
15.09.26
CL
Al Ain4
Al Nassr0
L
12.09.26
SPL
Al Khaleej1
Al Nassr1
D
09.09.26
SPL
Al Nassr2
Abha1
W
05.09.26
SPL
Al Ittihad2
Al Nassr1
L
28.08.26
SPL
Al Nassr2
Al Taawon1
W
25.08.26
SPL
Al Ettifaq2
Al Nassr3
W
21.08.26
SPL
Al Riyadh0
Al Nassr4
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Saudi Professional League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Al Majma’ah Sports City (Al Majma’ah), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.21, a call we are confident in at roughly 18%. The fixture starts at 2:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Saudi Professional League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 23 Oct 2026, 7:37am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?
Our selection is 2 - Al Nassr to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Al Faisaly's current form?
Al Faisaly have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al Nassr been performing recently?
Al Nassr have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Faisaly lead with 3 wins versus Al Nassr's 5, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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