Moderate Signal
56%

Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge - Prediction & Betting Tips

CChernomorets 1919 vs SvogeS
2:00 pm .- .efbet Arena (Burgas)
Home
LWWWW
7W 1D 2L
- Steady
Away
LLLWL
1W 3D 6L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 23rd October 2026
1
Backing Chernomorets 1919 to win
Implied Prob
78.1%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-22.1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Chernomorets 1919 to win
1.28
BTTS - No70%Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge Competition: Bulgaria Vtora Liga Date: Friday, 23rd October 2026 KO: 2:00 pm Pick: 1 (Chernomorets 1919 to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 56% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: BTTS - No (70%) Also: Chernomorets 1919 Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
3
Chernomorets 1919
1
Draws
2
Svoge
6
Meetings
1.5
Avg Goals
17%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Neutral Chernomorets 1919 won 3 of the last 6 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Chernomorets 1919
Metric
Svoge
2
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W - D - L
1-3-6
Win Rate
70%
10%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 14.1%
0-1 9.1%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
C1
1-0 18.6%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 0.8%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
C2
2-0 12.2%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 2.5%
2-3 0.5%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
C3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 1.1%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 18.6% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 12.2% model probability
2-1 7.8% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Chernomorets 1919
Overall
7.3v
Scoring
6.7v
Defence
7.0v
Svoge
Overall
1.9v
Scoring
2.0v
Defence
6.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes21%
Home Win & BTTS No49%
Draw & BTTS Yes6%
Draw & BTTS No14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes3%
Away Win & BTTS No7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.532%
Home Win & Under 2.539%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.55%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
15.05.26
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge0
16.11.25
2L
Svoge0
Chernomorets 19191
18.05.24
2L
Svoge1
Chernomorets 19190
03.11.23
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge2
20.03.10
1L
Svoge0
Chernomorets 19190
29.08.09
1L
Chernomorets 19193
Svoge0
Recent Form
Chernomorets 1919
18.10.26
CUP
Chernomorets 19190
Botev Plovdiv4
L
10.10.26
2L
Dobrudzha0
Chernomorets 19193
W
04.10.26
CUP
Volov Shumen0
Chernomorets 19192
W
27.09.26
2L
Chernomorets 19192
Montana0
W
20.09.26
2L
Etar2
Chernomorets 19194
W
13.09.26
2L
Chernomorets 19193
Spartak Pleven0
W
07.09.26
2L
Fratria2
Chernomorets 19192
D
02.09.26
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Ludogorets II0
W
29.08.26
2L
Pirin Blagoevgrad0
Chernomorets 19193
W
23.08.26
2L
Hebar1
Chernomorets 19190
L
Svoge
10.10.26
2L
Svoge1
Hebar3
L
04.10.26
CUP
Neftochimic Burgas1
Svoge (3-2)1
27.09.26
2L
CSKA Sofia II1
Svoge0
L
21.09.26
2L
Svoge3
Vihren2
W
13.09.26
2L
Beroe1
Svoge0
L
07.09.26
2L
Svoge0
Lok. Gorna0
D
02.09.26
2L
Rilski Sportist2
Svoge1
L
29.08.26
2L
Svoge0
Marek0
D
23.08.26
2L
Yantra Gabrovo1
Svoge0
L
16.08.26
2L
Svoge0
Nesebar1
L
Chernomorets 1919 (Home)
18.10.26
CUP
Chernomorets 19190
Botev Plovdiv4
L
27.09.26
2L
Chernomorets 19192
Montana0
W
13.09.26
2L
Chernomorets 19193
Spartak Pleven0
W
02.09.26
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Ludogorets II0
W
17.08.26
2L
Chernomorets 19190
CSKA Sofia II1
L
01.08.26
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Beroe0
W
11.07.26
CF
Chernomorets 19191
Etar3
L
15.05.26
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge0
W
03.05.26
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Etar1
D
16.04.26
2L
Chernomorets 19190
Ludogorets II0
D
Svoge (Away)
04.10.26
CUP
Neftochimic Burgas1
Svoge (3-2)1
27.09.26
2L
CSKA Sofia II1
Svoge0
L
13.09.26
2L
Beroe1
Svoge0
L
02.09.26
2L
Rilski Sportist2
Svoge1
L
23.08.26
2L
Yantra Gabrovo1
Svoge0
L
02.08.26
2L
Dobrudzha0
Svoge0
D
27.06.26
CF
CSKA Sofia II2
Svoge1
L
15.05.26
2L
Chernomorets 19191
Svoge0
L
02.05.26
2L
Belasitsa3
Svoge0
L
16.04.26
2L
Vihren4
Svoge1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Bulgaria Vtora Liga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at efbet Arena (Burgas), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.28, a call we are confident in at roughly 50%. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Bulgaria Vtora Liga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 23 Oct 2026, 7:37am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Chernomorets 1919 vs Svoge?
Our selection is 1 - Chernomorets 1919 to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Chernomorets 1919's current form?
Chernomorets 1919 have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Svoge been performing recently?
Svoge have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Chernomorets 1919 lead with 3 wins versus Svoge's 2, with 1 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 17%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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