Strong Signal
72%

Almere vs Jong PSV — Prediction & Betting Tips

AAlmere vs Jong PSVJ
7:00 pm · ·Yanmar Stadion (Almere)
Home
DLWWW
4W 1D 5L
→ Steady
Away
WLLLW
4W 0D 6L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 14th August 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
73%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-1%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
5
Almere
1
Draws
4
Jong PSV
10
Meetings
4.2
Avg Goals
90%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 80% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Almere
Metric
Jong PSV
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-1-5
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.2
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

J0
J1
J2
J3
J4
J5
A0
0-0 2.6%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 2.8%
0-4 1.3%
0-5 0.5%
A1
1-0 4.6%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 5.0%
1-4 2.3%
1-5 0.9%
A2
2-0 4.2%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 7.2%
2-3 4.5%
2-4 2.1%
2-5 0.8%
A3
3-0 2.5%
3-1 4.6%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.2%
3-5 0.5%
A4
4-0 1.1%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.2%
A5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–2 8.1% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
1–1 8.6% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–1 7.7% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Almere
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
3.7
Jong PSV
Overall
4.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
4.7
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes26%
Home Win & BTTS No21%
Draw & BTTS Yes3%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes26%
Away Win & BTTS No21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.526%
Home Win & Under 2.521%
Draw & Over 2.53%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.526%
Away Win & Under 2.521%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
12.12.25
EER
Jong PSV2
Almere City3
12.09.25
EER
Almere City2
Jong PSV4
03.02.23
EER
Almere City1
Jong PSV2
07.11.22
EER
Jong PSV0
Almere City1
10.01.22
EER
Jong PSV5
Almere City1
22.10.21
EER
Almere City3
Jong PSV5
12.05.21
EER
Almere City1
Jong PSV1
21.12.20
EER
Jong PSV1
Almere City2
16.08.19
EER
Almere City3
Jong PSV2
26.04.19
EER
Almere City2
Jong PSV1
Recent Form
Almere
08.08.26
EER
Den Bosch1
Almere City1
D
01.08.26
CF
FC Emmen4
Almere City0
L
31.07.26
CF
Groningen1
Almere City3
W
25.07.26
CF
Almere City8
Oss4
W
15.07.26
CF
Almere City2
FC Volendam1
W
11.07.26
CF
AZ Alkmaar2
Almere City1
L
08.07.26
CF
G.A. Eagles2
Almere City1
L
04.07.26
CF
Almere City2
Telstar1
W
16.05.26
EER
Willem II2
Almere City0
L
13.05.26
EER
Almere City0
Willem II1
L
Jong PSV
10.08.26
EER
Jong PSV3
FC Volendam2
W
18.07.26
CF
Jong PSV2
Genk U234
L
24.04.26
EER
Waalwijk4
Jong PSV1
L
17.04.26
EER
Jong PSV0
Jong Ajax1
L
13.04.26
EER
Jong AZ0
Jong PSV2
W
06.04.26
EER
Jong PSV1
Venlo0
W
03.04.26
EER
Willem II1
Jong PSV0
L
20.03.26
EER
Jong PSV0
Vitesse2
L
16.03.26
EER
Den Bosch1
Jong PSV0
L
13.03.26
EER
Jong PSV1
Eindhoven FC2
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Eerste Divisie fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Yanmar Stadion (Almere), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.37, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 2.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Eerste Divisie predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 14 Aug 2026, 8:11am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Almere vs Jong PSV?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Almere's current form?
Almere have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Jong PSV been performing recently?
Jong PSV have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Almere lead with 5 wins versus Jong PSV's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 90%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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