LOST Tip LOST Araba 1-1 H. Migdal HaEmek

Araba vs H. Migdal HaEmek - Prediction & Betting Tips

AAraba 1-1 H. Migdal HaEmekH
1:30 pm .N/A
Home
LLLLW
2W 1D 7L
- Steady
Away
LWDWW
5W 2D 3L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 30th September 2026
2
Backing H. Migdal HaEmek to win
Implied Prob
80%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - H. Migdal HaEmek to win
1.25
Over 2.5 Goals85%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Araba vs H. Migdal HaEmek Competition: Israel Liga Alef North Date: Wednesday, 30th September 2026 KO: 1:30 pm Pick: 2 (H. Migdal HaEmek to win) Odds: 1.25 Confidence: 72% Model Correct Score: 1-2 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
0
Araba
0
Draws
3
H. Migdal HaEmek
3
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip H. Migdal HaEmek won 3 of 3 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Araba
Metric
H. Migdal HaEmek
0.9
Goals For / Game
2.2
2.6
Goals Against / Game
1.5
0%
Clean Sheets
30%
2-1-7
W - D - L
5-2-3
Win Rate
20%
50%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
A0
0-0 4.2%
0-1 9.3%
0-2 10.3%
0-3 7.6%
0-4 4.2%
0-5 1.9%
A1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.9%
1-2 9.8%
1-3 7.3%
1-4 4.0%
1-5 1.8%
A2
2-0 1.9%
2-1 4.3%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.9%
A3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.4%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.3%
A4
4-0 0.2%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-2 9.8% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
0-2 10.3% model probability
0-1 9.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Araba
Overall
2.3-
Scoring
3.0-
Defence
1.3-
H. Migdal HaEmek
Overall
5.6v
Scoring
7.3v
Defence
5.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes14%
Home Win & BTTS No10%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes35%
Away Win & BTTS No23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.520%
Home Win & Under 2.54%
Draw & Over 2.515%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.549%
Away Win & Under 2.59%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
06.01.26
LAN
Araba1
H. Migdal HaEmek2
31.01.25
LAN
Araba1
H. Migdal HaEmek2
06.09.24
LAN
H. Migdal HaEmek2
Araba0
Recent Form
Araba
24.09.26
LAN
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad4
Araba1
L
19.09.26
LAN
Araba0
M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik4
L
10.09.26
LAN
MS Tira4
Araba0
L
06.09.26
LAN
Araba0
Nahariya1
L
27.02.26
LAN
Hapoel Karmiel1
Araba2
W
22.02.26
LAN
Araba0
Tzeirey Tamra3
L
13.02.26
LAN
Ironi Nesher3
Araba1
L
06.02.26
LAN
Araba2
M. Nazareth2
D
30.01.26
LAN
Tzeirey Um El Fahem3
Araba0
L
27.01.26
LAN
Araba3
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1
W
H. Migdal HaEmek
24.09.26
LAN
H. Migdal HaEmek2
Nof Hagalil3
L
18.09.26
LAN
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad2
H. Migdal HaEmek4
W
05.09.26
LAN
M. Kiryat Ata-Bialik2
H. Migdal HaEmek2
D
27.02.26
LAN
Tzeirey Tamra0
H. Migdal HaEmek2
W
19.02.26
LAN
H. Migdal HaEmek3
Ironi Nesher0
W
13.02.26
LAN
M. Nazareth4
H. Migdal HaEmek2
L
06.02.26
LAN
H. Migdal HaEmek3
Tzeirey Um El Fahem1
W
31.01.26
LAN
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad0
H. Migdal HaEmek0
D
26.01.26
LAN
H. Migdal HaEmek3
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad1
W
16.01.26
LAN
Ironi Baka2
H. Migdal HaEmek1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Israel Liga Alef North fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at N/A, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.25, a call we are confident in at roughly 22%. The fixture starts at 1:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Israel Liga Alef North predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 1 Oct 2026, 8:38am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Araba vs H. Migdal HaEmek?
Our selection is 2 - H. Migdal HaEmek to win, priced at approximately 1.25. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Araba's current form?
Araba have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has H. Migdal HaEmek been performing recently?
H. Migdal HaEmek have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Araba lead with 0 wins versus H. Migdal HaEmek's 3, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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