Strong Signal
70%

Augsburg vs Union Berlin - Prediction & Betting Tips

AAugsburg vs Union BerlinU
2:30 pm .- .WWK Arena (Augsburg)
Home
LDDLD
4W 3D 3L
- Steady
Away
DWWLL
4W 2D 4L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 24th October 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-1.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals80%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Augsburg vs Union Berlin Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 24th October 2026 KO: 2:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 70% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
3
Augsburg
3
Draws
4
Union Berlin
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Over 2.5 in 40% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Augsburg
Metric
Union Berlin
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.5
2
Goals Against / Game
2.5
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-3-3
W - D - L
4-2-4
Win Rate
40%
40%
4.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
A0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 4.3%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 7.7%
1-3 4.2%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.6%
A2
2-0 5.2%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 7.0%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.5%
A3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
A4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 9.4% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-1 8.5% model probability
1-2 7.7% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Augsburg
Overall
4.9^
Scoring
7.7^
Defence
3.3^
Union Berlin
Overall
4.6-
Scoring
5.0-
Defence
1.7-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No15%
Draw & BTTS Yes14%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes23%
Away Win & BTTS No15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.58%
Draw & Over 2.519%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.530%
Away Win & Under 2.58%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
16.05.26
BUN
Union Berlin4
Augsburg0
15.01.26
BUN
Augsburg1
Union Berlin1
17.05.25
BUN
Augsburg1
Union Berlin2
15.01.25
BUN
Union Berlin0
Augsburg2
12.04.24
BUN
Augsburg2
Union Berlin0
25.11.23
BUN
Union Berlin1
Augsburg1
06.05.23
BUN
Augsburg1
Union Berlin0
07.01.23
CF
Augsburg1
Union Berlin4
07.01.23
CF
Augsburg0
Union Berlin1
09.11.22
BUN
Union Berlin2
Augsburg2
Recent Form
Augsburg
17.10.26
BUN
Elversberg4
Augsburg3
L
10.10.26
BUN
Augsburg2
Bayern Munich2
D
02.10.26
CF
Augsburg2
Hertha Berlin2
D
19.09.26
BUN
Werder Bremen3
Augsburg2
L
12.09.26
BUN
Augsburg2
Bayer Leverkusen2
D
06.09.26
BUN
Eintracht Frankfurt1
Augsburg4
W
30.08.26
BUN
Augsburg3
Schalke0
W
22.08.26
POK
Cottbus0
Augsburg2
W
15.08.26
CF
Leeds4
Augsburg0
L
08.08.26
CF
Augsburg3
Sassuolo2
W
Union Berlin
17.10.26
BUN
Union Berlin0
Dortmund0
D
10.10.26
BUN
Union Berlin1
Elversberg0
W
26.09.26
CF
Rijeka0
Union Berlin1
W
18.09.26
BUN
Bayern Munich7
Union Berlin0
L
11.09.26
BUN
Union Berlin1
Schalke3
L
05.09.26
BUN
Bayer Leverkusen4
Union Berlin0
L
29.08.26
BUN
Union Berlin3
Eintracht Frankfurt3
D
23.08.26
POK
Braunschweig2
Union Berlin4
W
15.08.26
CF
Union Berlin2
Ipswich4
L
09.08.26
CF
Union Berlin3
Aris2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this German Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at WWK Arena (Augsburg), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.40, a call we are confident in at roughly around 8 in 10. The fixture starts at 2:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are German Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 24 Oct 2026, 6:54am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Augsburg vs Union Berlin?
Our selection is Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Augsburg's current form?
Augsburg have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Union Berlin been performing recently?
Union Berlin have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Augsburg lead with 3 wins versus Union Berlin's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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