Strong Signal
65%

Lazio vs Parma - Prediction & Betting Tips

LLazio vs ParmaP
7:45 pm .- .Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
Home
WWDWW
7W 2D 1L
- Steady
Away
LLWLD
2W 1D 7L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 24th October 2026
1
Backing Lazio to win
Implied Prob
69.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-4.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Lazio to win
1.44
Over 1.5 Goals85%BTTS - No65%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lazio vs Parma Competition: Italian Serie A Date: Saturday, 24th October 2026 KO: 7:45 pm Pick: 1 (Lazio to win) Odds: 1.44 Confidence: 65% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS - No (65%)
02Head to Head
7
Lazio
2
Draws
1
Parma
10
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Lazio won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Lazio
Metric
Parma
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.6
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.7
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-2-1
W - D - L
2-1-7
Win Rate
70%
20%
2.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
L0
0-0 8.0%
0-1 6.2%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
L1
1-0 14.0%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
L2
2-0 12.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
L3
3-0 7.2%
3-1 5.6%
3-2 2.2%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 3.2%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 14.0% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 12.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Lazio
Overall
7.6v
Scoring
6.3v
Defence
7.0v
Parma
Overall
2.3-
Scoring
2.0-
Defence
4.3-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No44%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes7%
Away Win & BTTS No12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.537%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.59%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
04.04.26
SA
Lazio1
Parma1
13.12.25
SA
Parma0
Lazio1
28.04.25
SA
Lazio2
Parma2
01.12.24
SA
Parma3
Lazio1
12.05.21
SA
Lazio1
Parma0
21.01.21
COP
Lazio2
Parma1
10.01.21
SA
Parma0
Lazio2
09.02.20
SA
Parma0
Lazio1
22.09.19
SA
Lazio2
Parma0
17.03.19
SA
Lazio4
Parma1
Recent Form
Lazio
18.10.26
SA
Juventus0
Lazio3
W
11.10.26
SA
Lazio3
Monza1
W
03.10.26
CF
Lazio3
Juve Stabia3
D
27.09.26
CF
Lazio2
Arezzo0
W
19.09.26
SA
Venezia0
Lazio2
W
12.09.26
SA
Lazio2
AC Milan2
D
07.09.26
SA
Udinese1
Lazio2
W
30.08.26
SA
Lazio1
Genoa0
W
24.08.26
SA
Bologna0
Lazio1
W
16.08.26
COP
Lazio0
Mantova2
L
Parma
19.10.26
SA
Parma0
Torino3
L
10.10.26
SA
Inter3
Parma0
L
20.09.26
SA
Parma2
Genoa1
W
14.09.26
SA
Como2
Parma1
L
06.09.26
SA
Parma1
Monza1
D
01.09.26
COP
Parma0
Cremonese2
L
29.08.26
SA
Juventus2
Parma0
L
22.08.26
SA
Parma0
Cagliari1
L
14.08.26
COP
Parma2
Catania0
W
09.08.26
CF
Parma0
Sampdoria2
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Italian Serie A fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.44, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 59. The fixture starts at 7:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Italian Serie A predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 24 Oct 2026, 6:54am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Lazio vs Parma?
Our selection is 1 - Lazio to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Parma been performing recently?
Parma have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lazio lead with 7 wins versus Parma's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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