WON Tip WON Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal

Bayern Munich vs Arsenal - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBayern Munich 2-2 ArsenalA
8:00 pm .Allianz Arena (Munich)
Home
WDDWW
7W 3D 0L
^ Improving
Away
WWWLW
9W 0D 1L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 21st October 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
63.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+9.7%
Value detected
Kelly %
26.4%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals
1.58
Over 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals80%Arsenal Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bayern Munich vs Arsenal Competition: UEFA Champions League Date: Wednesday, 21st October 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.58 Confidence: 73% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Arsenal Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
4
Bayern Munich
3
Draws
3
Arsenal
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Bayern Munich
Metric
Arsenal
3.6
Goals For / Game
1.9
1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
60%
7-3-0
W - D - L
9-0-1
Win Rate
70%
90%
3.6
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B0
0-0 2.7%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 5.9%
1-1 8.5%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
B2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
B3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 6.7%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.3%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
B4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.6%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-1 8.5% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
3-1 6.7% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Bayern Munich
Overall
7.9^
Scoring
10.0^
Defence
6.7^
Arsenal
Overall
9.0^
Scoring
6.3^
Defence
7.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes20%
Home Win & BTTS No20%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes26%
Away Win & BTTS No26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.510%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.538%
Away Win & Under 2.513%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
26.11.25
CL
Arsenal3
Bayern Munich1
17.04.24
CL
Bayern Munich1
Arsenal0
09.04.24
CL
Arsenal2
Bayern Munich2
18.07.19
ICC
Arsenal2
Bayern Munich1
19.07.17
ICC
Bayern Munich1
Arsenal (2-3)1
07.03.17
CL
Arsenal1
Bayern Munich5
15.02.17
CL
Bayern Munich5
Arsenal1
04.11.15
CL
Bayern Munich5
Arsenal1
20.10.15
CL
Arsenal2
Bayern Munich0
11.03.14
CL
Bayern Munich1
Arsenal1
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
17.10.26
BUN
Bayern Munich6
RB Leipzig1
W
13.10.26
CL
Viking3
Bayern Munich3
D
10.10.26
BUN
Augsburg2
Bayern Munich2
D
18.09.26
BUN
Bayern Munich7
Union Berlin0
W
13.09.26
BUN
Elversberg1
Bayern Munich2
W
10.09.26
CL
Bayern Munich5
Bodo/Glimt0
W
05.09.26
BUN
Schalke0
Bayern Munich0
D
02.09.26
POK
VfL Osnabruck1
Bayern Munich4
W
28.08.26
BUN
Bayern Munich5
Stuttgart1
W
22.08.26
SC
Dortmund1
Bayern Munich2
W
Arsenal
18.10.26
PL
Nottingham0
Arsenal1
W
13.10.26
CL
Arsenal3
Lille0
W
10.10.26
PL
Arsenal2
Leeds1
W
19.09.26
PL
Brighton3
Arsenal0
L
15.09.26
EFL
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
W
12.09.26
PL
Sunderland0
Arsenal2
W
09.09.26
CL
Napoli0
Arsenal1
W
06.09.26
PL
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
W
31.08.26
PL
Aston Villa0
Arsenal1
W
21.08.26
PL
Arsenal3
Coventry0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this UEFA Champions League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Allianz Arena (Munich), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.58, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are UEFA Champions League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 22 Oct 2026, 12:18pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Bayern Munich vs Arsenal?
Our selection is Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.58. Tip confidence rating: 73%.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arsenal been performing recently?
Arsenal have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bayern Munich lead with 4 wins versus Arsenal's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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