Moderate Signal
55%

Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBayern Munich vs Borussia DortmundB
6:30 pm .- .Allianz Arena (Munich)
Home
WWDWD
6W 4D 0L
^ Improving
Away
WWWDL
7W 2D 1L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 31st October 2026
1
Backing Bayern Munich to win
Implied Prob
75.8%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-20.8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Bayern Munich to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals75%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 31st October 2026 KO: 6:30 pm Pick: 1 (Bayern Munich to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 55% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%)
02Head to Head
6
Bayern Munich
3
Draws
1
Borussia Dortmund
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Bayern Munich won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
03Stats Duel
Bayern Munich
Metric
Borussia Dortmund
3.6
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-4-0
W - D - L
7-2-1
Win Rate
60%
70%
3.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
B0
0-0 2.4%
0-1 3.4%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 7.9%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
B2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.1%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
B3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 7.0%
3-2 5.0%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
B4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.9%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.3%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
3-1 7.0% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 6.4% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Bayern Munich
Overall
7.2-
Scoring
10.0-
Defence
6.3-
Borussia Dortmund
Overall
7.6^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
6.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No15%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes26%
Away Win & BTTS No17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.529%
Home Win & Under 2.510%
Draw & Over 2.514%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.532%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
22.08.26
SC
Dortmund1
Bayern Munich2
28.02.26
BUN
Dortmund2
Bayern Munich3
18.10.25
BUN
Bayern Munich2
Dortmund1
12.04.25
BUN
Bayern Munich2
Dortmund2
30.11.24
BUN
Dortmund1
Bayern Munich1
30.03.24
BUN
Bayern Munich0
Dortmund2
04.11.23
BUN
Dortmund0
Bayern Munich4
01.04.23
BUN
Bayern Munich4
Dortmund2
08.10.22
BUN
Dortmund2
Bayern Munich2
23.04.22
BUN
Bayern Munich3
Dortmund1
Recent Form
Bayern Munich
28.10.26
POK
Bayern Munich6
Magdeburg1
W
25.10.26
BUN
Freiburg1
Bayern Munich3
W
21.10.26
CL
Bayern Munich2
Arsenal2
D
17.10.26
BUN
Bayern Munich6
RB Leipzig1
W
13.10.26
CL
Viking3
Bayern Munich3
D
10.10.26
BUN
Augsburg2
Bayern Munich2
D
18.09.26
BUN
Bayern Munich7
Union Berlin0
W
13.09.26
BUN
Elversberg1
Bayern Munich2
W
10.09.26
CL
Bayern Munich5
Bodo/Glimt0
W
05.09.26
BUN
Schalke0
Bayern Munich0
D
Borussia Dortmund
27.10.26
POK
Dortmund3
Werder Bremen2
W
24.10.26
BUN
Dortmund1
Eintracht Frankfurt0
W
20.10.26
CL
Sabah FC1
Dortmund2
W
17.10.26
BUN
Union Berlin0
Dortmund0
D
14.10.26
CL
Bodo/Glimt1
Dortmund0
L
09.10.26
BUN
Dortmund2
Werder Bremen2
D
19.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund1
W
12.09.26
BUN
Dortmund3
Paderborn0
W
08.09.26
CL
Dortmund3
Villarreal2
W
05.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Dortmund3
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this German Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Allianz Arena (Munich), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.32, a call we are confident in at roughly 48. The fixture starts at 6:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are German Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 31 Oct 2026, 6:12am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our selection is 1 - Bayern Munich to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Bayern Munich's current form?
Bayern Munich have won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Borussia Dortmund been performing recently?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bayern Munich lead with 6 wins versus Borussia Dortmund's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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