Strong Signal
81%

Bohemians vs Drogheda - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBohemians vs DroghedaD
8:00 pm .- .Dalymount Park (Dublin)
Home
WWWWW
4W 2D 4L
v Declining
Away
WWLLL
4W 3D 3L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 18th September 2026
1X
Backing Bohemians to win or draw
Implied Prob
94.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-13.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1X - Bohemians to win or draw
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bohemians vs Drogheda Competition: Ireland Premier Division Date: Friday, 18th September 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1X (Bohemians to win or draw) Odds: 1.06 Confidence: 81% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
4
Bohemians
2
Draws
4
Drogheda
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
03Stats Duel
Bohemians
Metric
Drogheda
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
4-2-4
W - D - L
4-3-3
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
B0
0-0 5.6%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 9.1%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 7.1%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
B2
2-0 7.5%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 11.4% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 9.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Bohemians
Overall
4.6v
Scoring
7.3v
Defence
4.0v
Drogheda
Overall
4.9-
Scoring
5.3-
Defence
6.7-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes21%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes13%
Draw & BTTS No11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes21%
Away Win & BTTS No17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.525%
Home Win & Under 2.513%
Draw & Over 2.516%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.525%
Away Win & Under 2.513%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
03.07.26
PD
Drogheda0
Bohemians2
15.05.26
PD
Bohemians2
Drogheda1
03.04.26
PD
Drogheda0
Bohemians0
09.01.26
CF
Drogheda1
Bohemians1
01.11.25
PD
Drogheda1
Bohemians4
01.08.25
PD
Bohemians0
Drogheda1
23.05.25
PD
Drogheda1
Bohemians0
03.03.25
PD
Bohemians0
Drogheda1
28.01.25
CF
Bohemians4
Drogheda2
20.09.24
PD
Bohemians0
Drogheda1
Recent Form
Bohemians
11.09.26
PD
Galway2
Bohemians3
W
05.09.26
FAI
St. Patricks1
Bohemians (7-8)1
28.08.26
PD
Bohemians3
Sligo Rovers0
W
21.08.26
PD
Bohemians5
Derry City3
W
16.08.26
FAI
Bohemians4
Longford0
W
13.08.26
UECL
Midtjylland3
Bohemians2
L
09.08.26
PD
Waterford3
Bohemians1
L
06.08.26
UECL
Bohemians0
Midtjylland2
L
02.08.26
PD
Bohemians1
Galway1
D
30.07.26
UECL
FC Ballkani3
Bohemians (4-5)2
Drogheda
14.09.26
PD
Shelbourne1
Drogheda2
W
11.09.26
PD
Drogheda2
Sligo Rovers0
W
04.09.26
FAI
Drogheda1
Galway2
L
28.08.26
PD
Drogheda2
Dundalk3
L
21.08.26
PD
Drogheda0
St. Patricks2
L
15.08.26
FAI
College Corinthians0
Drogheda3
W
07.08.26
PD
Galway0
Drogheda0
D
31.07.26
PD
Drogheda0
Shamrock Rovers0
D
25.07.26
PD
Sligo Rovers2
Drogheda2
D
17.07.26
FAI
Drogheda4
Lucan Utd0
W
Bohemians (Home)
28.08.26
PD
Bohemians3
Sligo Rovers0
W
21.08.26
PD
Bohemians5
Derry City3
W
16.08.26
FAI
Bohemians4
Longford0
W
06.08.26
UECL
Bohemians0
Midtjylland2
L
02.08.26
PD
Bohemians1
Galway1
D
22.07.26
UECL
Bohemians2
FC Ballkani1
W
09.07.26
UECL
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
W
26.06.26
PD
Bohemians2
St. Patricks0
W
19.06.26
PD
Bohemians1
Dundalk2
L
25.05.26
PD
Bohemians1
Shamrock Rovers2
L
Drogheda (Away)
14.09.26
PD
Shelbourne1
Drogheda2
W
15.08.26
FAI
College Corinthians0
Drogheda3
W
07.08.26
PD
Galway0
Drogheda0
D
25.07.26
PD
Sligo Rovers2
Drogheda2
D
10.07.26
PD
Dundalk1
Drogheda2
W
26.06.26
PD
Derry City2
Drogheda0
L
12.06.26
PD
St. Patricks2
Drogheda0
L
18.05.26
PD
Waterford2
Drogheda1
L
15.05.26
PD
Bohemians2
Drogheda1
L
04.05.26
PD
Shamrock Rovers4
Drogheda1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Ireland Premier Division fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Dalymount Park (Dublin), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1X at @1.06, a call we are confident in at roughly 81%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Ireland Premier Division predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 18 Sep 2026, 8:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Bohemians vs Drogheda?
Our selection is 1X - Bohemians to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.06. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Bohemians's current form?
Bohemians have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Drogheda been performing recently?
Drogheda have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Bohemians lead with 4 wins versus Drogheda's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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