Moderate Signal
61%

Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBorussia Dortmund vs ElversbergE
3:30 pm .- .Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)
Home
WDWWW
6W 3D 1L
^ Improving
Away
WLLWL
4W 1D 5L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 7th November 2026
1
Backing Borussia Dortmund to win
Implied Prob
79.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-18.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Borussia Dortmund to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals65%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 7th November 2026 KO: 3:30 pm Pick: 1 (Borussia Dortmund to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 61% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%)
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Borussia Dortmund
Metric
Elversberg
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-3-1
W - D - L
4-1-5
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
B0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
B2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.5% model probability
1-0 8.1% model probability
2-0 7.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Borussia Dortmund
Overall
6.9v
Scoring
5.3v
Defence
7.0v
Elversberg
Overall
4.3-
Scoring
5.7-
Defence
3.3-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes28%
Home Win & BTTS No23%
Draw & BTTS Yes9%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes18%
Away Win & BTTS No15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.533%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.511%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.521%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Borussia Dortmund
04.11.26
CL
Dortmund2
Betis1
W
31.10.26
BUN
Bayern Munich2
Dortmund2
D
27.10.26
POK
Dortmund3
Werder Bremen2
W
24.10.26
BUN
Dortmund1
Eintracht Frankfurt0
W
20.10.26
CL
Sabah FC1
Dortmund2
W
17.10.26
BUN
Union Berlin0
Dortmund0
D
14.10.26
CL
Bodo/Glimt1
Dortmund0
L
09.10.26
BUN
Dortmund2
Werder Bremen2
D
19.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund1
W
12.09.26
BUN
Dortmund3
Paderborn0
W
Elversberg
30.10.26
BUN
Elversberg4
Mainz1
W
27.10.26
POK
Elversberg0
Darmstadt2
L
24.10.26
BUN
RB Leipzig4
Elversberg0
L
17.10.26
BUN
Elversberg4
Augsburg3
W
10.10.26
BUN
Union Berlin1
Elversberg0
L
24.09.26
CF
Mannheim2
Elversberg1
L
20.09.26
BUN
Schalke0
Elversberg0
D
13.09.26
BUN
Elversberg1
Bayern Munich2
L
05.09.26
BUN
B. Monchengladbach3
Elversberg4
W
29.08.26
BUN
Elversberg3
Bayer Leverkusen2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this German Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.26, a call we are confident in at roughly 61%. The fixture starts at 3:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are German Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 7 Nov 2026, 6:49am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Borussia Dortmund vs Elversberg?
Our selection is 1 - Borussia Dortmund to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Borussia Dortmund's current form?
Borussia Dortmund have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Elversberg been performing recently?
Elversberg have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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