Strong Signal
77%

PSG vs Troyes - Prediction & Betting Tips

PPSG vs TroyesT
9:05 pm .- .Parc des Princes (Paris)
Home
WWWWW
10W 0D 0L
- Steady
Away
WDLLD
2W 3D 5L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 7th November 2026
1
Backing PSG to win
Implied Prob
88.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-11.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - PSG to win
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
PSG vs Troyes Competition: France Ligue 1 Date: Saturday, 7th November 2026 KO: 9:05 pm Pick: 1 (PSG to win) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 77% Model Correct Score: 2-0 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
9
PSG
1
Draws
0
Troyes
10
Meetings
4.1
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip PSG won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
PSG
Metric
Troyes
3.6
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
10-0-0
W - D - L
2-3-5
Win Rate
100%
20%
3.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
P0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 3.4%
0-2 1.8%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
P1
1-0 7.9%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 9.3%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 7.4%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 4.4%
4-1 4.5%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 2.1%
5-1 2.2%
5-2 1.1%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-0 9.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.6% model probability
1-0 7.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
PSG
Overall
10.0-
Scoring
10.0-
Defence
7.0-
Troyes
Overall
2.9-
Scoring
3.0-
Defence
4.0-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes41%
Home Win & BTTS No33%
Draw & BTTS Yes6%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes8%
Away Win & BTTS No7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.544%
Home Win & Under 2.530%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.59%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
07.05.23
L1
Troyes1
PSG3
29.10.22
L1
PSG4
Troyes3
08.05.22
L1
PSG2
Troyes2
07.08.21
L1
Troyes1
PSG2
03.03.18
L1
Troyes0
PSG2
29.11.17
L1
PSG2
Troyes0
13.03.16
L1
Troyes0
PSG9
28.11.15
L1
PSG4
Troyes1
13.04.13
L1
Troyes0
PSG1
24.11.12
L1
PSG4
Troyes0
Recent Form
PSG
03.11.26
CL
Villarreal0
PSG6
W
30.10.26
L1
Le Havre1
PSG5
W
26.10.26
L1
PSG2
Lyon0
W
20.10.26
CL
PSG4
Barcelona2
W
17.10.26
L1
Strasbourg1
PSG3
W
14.10.26
CL
Manchester City2
PSG4
W
10.10.26
L1
PSG3
Le Mans1
W
20.09.26
L1
Marseille1
PSG2
W
13.09.26
L1
Brest0
PSG1
W
09.09.26
CL
PSG6
Slovan Bratislava1
W
Troyes
31.10.26
L1
Troyes2
Le Mans0
W
25.10.26
L1
Toulouse0
Troyes0
D
17.10.26
L1
Troyes1
Lens3
L
11.10.26
L1
Troyes0
Marseille2
L
02.10.26
CF
Dijon2
Troyes2
D
19.09.26
L1
Angers2
Troyes0
L
13.09.26
L1
Lille2
Troyes0
L
06.09.26
L1
Troyes2
Strasbourg6
L
29.08.26
L1
Lorient1
Troyes2
W
22.08.26
L1
Troyes0
Paris FC0
D
PSG (Home)
26.10.26
L1
PSG2
Lyon0
W
20.10.26
CL
PSG4
Barcelona2
W
10.10.26
L1
PSG3
Le Mans1
W
09.09.26
CL
PSG6
Slovan Bratislava1
W
04.09.26
L1
PSG1
Monaco2
L
12.08.26
SC
PSG2
Aston Villa1
W
08.08.26
CF
PSG1
Manchester Utd1
D
30.05.26
CL
PSG1
Arsenal (4-3)1
10.05.26
L1
PSG1
Brest0
W
02.05.26
L1
PSG2
Lorient2
D
Troyes (Away)
25.10.26
L1
Toulouse0
Troyes0
D
02.10.26
CF
Dijon2
Troyes2
D
19.09.26
L1
Angers2
Troyes0
L
13.09.26
L1
Lille2
Troyes0
L
29.08.26
L1
Lorient1
Troyes2
W
08.08.26
CF
Auxerre1
Troyes1
D
25.07.26
CF
Grenoble0
Troyes3
W
11.07.26
CF
Nancy1
Troyes3
W
09.05.26
L2
Grenoble1
Troyes0
L
25.04.26
L2
St Etienne0
Troyes3
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this France Ligue 1 fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Parc des Princes (Paris), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.13, a call we are confident in at roughly 59%. The fixture starts at 9:05 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are France Ligue 1 predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 7 Nov 2026, 6:49am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for PSG vs Troyes?
Our selection is 1 - PSG to win, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is PSG's current form?
PSG have won 10, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Troyes been performing recently?
Troyes have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSG lead with 9 wins versus Troyes's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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