LOST Tip LOST Burkina Faso 1-1 Benin

Burkina Faso vs Benin - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBurkina Faso 1-1 BeninB
8:00 pm .Stade du 4 Aout (Ouagadougou)
Home
DLDWL
5W 2D 3L
^ Improving
Away
LDWWL
3W 1D 6L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 25th September 2026
1
Backing Burkina Faso to win
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-23.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Burkina Faso to win
1.40
BTTS - No65%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Burkina Faso vs Benin Competition: AFCON Qualifier Date: Friday, 25th September 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Burkina Faso to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 48% Model Correct Score: 2-0 Also: BTTS - No (65%)
02Head to Head
2
Burkina Faso
2
Draws
1
Benin
5
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Burkina Faso won 2 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Burkina Faso
Metric
Benin
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-2-3
W - D - L
3-1-6
Win Rate
50%
30%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
B0
0-0 5.4%
0-1 4.8%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
B1
1-0 10.9%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 11.1%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 6.7%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 0.9%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
B4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 1.6%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-0 11.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 10.9% model probability
2-1 9.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Burkina Faso
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
5.7^
Benin
Overall
3.3v
Scoring
2.0v
Defence
3.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes19%
Home Win & BTTS No34%
Draw & BTTS Yes6%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes11%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.532%
Home Win & Under 2.521%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.519%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
18.11.25
FI
Burkina Faso3
Benin0
21.05.17
FI
Benin2
Burkina Faso2
04.05.17
FI
Burkina Faso1
Benin1
17.11.15
WC
Burkina Faso2
Benin0
12.11.15
WC
Benin2
Burkina Faso1
Recent Form
Burkina Faso
09.06.26
FI
Belarus2
Burkina Faso2
D
05.06.26
FI
Russia3
Burkina Faso0
L
31.03.26
FI
Burkina Faso1
Guinea Bissau1
D
28.03.26
FI
Burkina Faso5
Guinea Bissau0
W
06.01.26
ACN
Ivory Coast3
Burkina Faso0
L
31.12.25
ACN
Sudan0
Burkina Faso2
W
28.12.25
ACN
Algeria1
Burkina Faso0
L
24.12.25
ACN
Burkina Faso2
Equatorial Guinea1
W
18.11.25
FI
Burkina Faso3
Benin0
W
14.11.25
FI
Burkina Faso3
Niger2
W
Benin
09.06.26
FI
Togo5
Benin1
L
05.06.26
FI
Benin1
Niger1
D
31.03.26
FI
Guinea0
Benin1
W
27.03.26
FI
Benin1
Liberia0
W
05.01.26
ACN
Egypt3
Benin1
L
30.12.25
ACN
Benin0
Senegal3
L
27.12.25
ACN
Benin1
Botswana0
W
23.12.25
ACN
D.R. Congo1
Benin0
L
18.11.25
FI
Burkina Faso3
Benin0
L
14.10.25
WC
Nigeria4
Benin0
L
Burkina Faso (Home)
31.03.26
FI
Burkina Faso1
Guinea Bissau1
D
28.03.26
FI
Burkina Faso5
Guinea Bissau0
W
24.12.25
ACN
Burkina Faso2
Equatorial Guinea1
W
18.11.25
FI
Burkina Faso3
Benin0
W
14.11.25
FI
Burkina Faso3
Niger2
W
12.10.25
WC
Burkina Faso3
Ethiopia1
W
09.09.25
WC
Burkina Faso0
Egypt0
D
16.08.25
ANC
Burkina Faso1
Madagascar2
L
06.08.25
ANC
Burkina Faso4
Central Africa2
W
21.03.25
WC
Burkina Faso4
Djibouti1
W
Benin (Away)
09.06.26
FI
Togo5
Benin1
L
31.03.26
FI
Guinea0
Benin1
W
05.01.26
ACN
Egypt3
Benin1
L
23.12.25
ACN
D.R. Congo1
Benin0
L
18.11.25
FI
Burkina Faso3
Benin0
L
14.10.25
WC
Nigeria4
Benin0
L
10.10.25
WC
Rwanda0
Benin1
W
09.06.25
FI
Morocco1
Benin0
L
20.03.25
WC
Zimbabwe2
Benin2
D
18.11.24
ACN
Libya0
Benin0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stade du 4 Aout (Ouagadougou), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.40, a call we are confident in at roughly 51%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 28 Sep 2026, 8:19am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Burkina Faso vs Benin?
Our selection is 1 - Burkina Faso to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 48%.
What is Burkina Faso's current form?
Burkina Faso have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Benin been performing recently?
Benin have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Burkina Faso lead with 2 wins versus Benin's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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