WON Tip WON Morocco 2-0 Gabon

Morocco vs Gabon - Prediction & Betting Tips

MMorocco 2-0 GabonG
8:00 pm .Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah (Rabat)
Home
LWWWW
6W 3D 1L
^ Improving
Away
WLLLL
3W 2D 5L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 25th September 2026
1
Backing Morocco to win
Implied Prob
81.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-29.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Morocco to win
1.23
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Morocco vs Gabon Competition: AFCON Qualifier Date: Friday, 25th September 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Morocco to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 52% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
3
Morocco
4
Draws
3
Gabon
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Morocco won 3 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
03Stats Duel
Morocco
Metric
Gabon
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.8
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.9
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-3-1
W - D - L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
M0
0-0 3.5%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 7.1%
1-1 9.3%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.9%
1-5 0.2%
M2
2-0 7.4%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
M3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.3%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
M4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
M5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.6% model probability
2-0 7.4% model probability
1-0 7.1% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Morocco
Overall
6.9-
Scoring
7.3-
Defence
7.3-
Gabon
Overall
3.6^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
3.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes29%
Home Win & BTTS No23%
Draw & BTTS Yes12%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes14%
Away Win & BTTS No12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.531%
Home Win & Under 2.521%
Draw & Over 2.513%
Draw & Under 2.59%
Away Win & Over 2.516%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
15.11.24
ACN
Gabon1
Morocco5
06.09.24
ACN
Morocco4
Gabon1
18.01.22
ACN
Gabon2
Morocco2
15.10.19
FI
Morocco2
Gabon3
07.10.17
WC
Morocco3
Gabon0
08.10.16
WC
Gabon0
Morocco0
16.01.16
ANC
Gabon0
Morocco0
05.03.14
FI
Morocco1
Gabon1
27.01.12
ACN
Gabon3
Morocco2
10.10.09
WC
Gabon3
Morocco1
Recent Form
Morocco
09.07.26
WC
France2
Morocco0
L
04.07.26
WC
Canada0
Morocco3
W
30.06.26
WC
Netherlands1
Morocco (2-3)1
24.06.26
WC
Morocco4
Haiti2
W
19.06.26
WC
Scotland0
Morocco1
W
13.06.26
WC
Brazil1
Morocco1
D
07.06.26
FI
Morocco1
Norway1
D
02.06.26
FI
Morocco4
Madagascar0
W
26.05.26
FI
Morocco5
Burundi0
W
31.03.26
FI
Morocco2
Paraguay1
W
Gabon
30.03.26
FS
Trinidad & Tobago2
Gabon (2-3)2
27.03.26
FS
Uzbekistan3
Gabon1
L
31.12.25
ACN
Gabon2
Ivory Coast3
L
28.12.25
ACN
Gabon2
Mozambique3
L
24.12.25
ACN
Cameroon1
Gabon0
L
13.11.25
WC
Nigeria4
Gabon1
L
14.10.25
WC
Gabon2
Burundi0
W
10.10.25
WC
Gambia3
Gabon4
W
09.09.25
WC
Gabon0
Ivory Coast0
D
03.09.25
WC
Seychelles0
Gabon4
W
Morocco (Home)
24.06.26
WC
Morocco4
Haiti2
W
07.06.26
FI
Morocco1
Norway1
D
02.06.26
FI
Morocco4
Madagascar0
W
26.05.26
FI
Morocco5
Burundi0
W
31.03.26
FI
Morocco2
Paraguay1
W
27.03.26
FI
Morocco1
Ecuador1
D
04.01.26
ACN
Morocco1
Tanzania0
W
26.12.25
ACN
Morocco1
Mali1
D
21.12.25
ACN
Morocco2
Comoros0
W
15.12.25
ARC
Morocco3
United Arab Emirates0
W
Gabon (Away)
30.03.26
FS
Trinidad & Tobago2
Gabon (2-3)2
27.03.26
FS
Uzbekistan3
Gabon1
L
24.12.25
ACN
Cameroon1
Gabon0
L
13.11.25
WC
Nigeria4
Gabon1
L
10.10.25
WC
Gambia3
Gabon4
W
03.09.25
WC
Seychelles0
Gabon4
W
09.06.25
FI
Guinea Bissau0
Gabon2
W
06.06.25
FI
Niger4
Gabon3
L
23.03.25
WC
Kenya1
Gabon2
W
28.02.25
ANC
Gambia0
Gabon0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah (Rabat), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.23, a call we are confident in at roughly 60%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 28 Sep 2026, 8:23am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Morocco vs Gabon?
Our selection is 1 - Morocco to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Morocco's current form?
Morocco have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gabon been performing recently?
Gabon have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Morocco lead with 3 wins versus Gabon's 3, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer