LOST Tip LOST Burundi 2-2 Algeria

Burundi vs Algeria - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBurundi 2-2 AlgeriaA
2:00 pm .Stade Intwari (Bujumbura)
Home
LLWWL
3W 1D 6L
^ Improving
Away
WLDWL
5W 2D 3L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 29th September 2026
2
Backing Algeria to win
Implied Prob
74.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-7.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Algeria to win
1.34
BTTS - No85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Burundi vs Algeria Competition: AFCON Qualifier Date: Tuesday, 29th September 2026 KO: 2:00 pm Pick: 2 (Algeria to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 67% Model Correct Score: 0-1 Also: BTTS - No (85%)
02Head to Head
0
Burundi
2
Draws
3
Algeria
5
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Algeria won 3 of 5 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Burundi
Metric
Algeria
0.9
Goals For / Game
2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-1-6
W - D - L
5-2-3
Win Rate
30%
50%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
15%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
B0
0-0 7.2%
0-1 13.5%
0-2 12.7%
0-3 7.9%
0-4 3.7%
0-5 1.4%
B1
1-0 5.5%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 9.6%
1-3 6.0%
1-4 2.8%
1-5 1.1%
B2
2-0 2.1%
2-1 3.9%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.4%
B3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 1.0%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-1 13.5% model probability
0-2 12.7% model probability
1-2 9.6% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Burundi
Overall
3.3v
Scoring
3.0v
Defence
6.0v
Algeria
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
6.7^
Defence
6.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes5%
Home Win & BTTS No27%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes8%
Away Win & BTTS No44%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.514%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.59%
Away Win & Over 2.523%
Away Win & Under 2.529%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
09.01.24
FI
Burundi0
Algeria4
29.08.21
FI
Algeria3
Burundi0
11.06.19
FI
Algeria1
Burundi1
17.01.93
WC
Burundi0
Algeria0
09.10.92
WC
Algeria3
Burundi1
Recent Form
Burundi
25.09.26
ACN
Togo1
Burundi0
L
26.05.26
FI
Morocco5
Burundi0
L
31.03.26
ACN
Burundi4
Chad0
W
27.03.26
ACN
Chad0
Burundi4
W
14.10.25
WC
Gabon2
Burundi0
L
09.10.25
WC
Burundi0
Kenya1
L
09.09.25
WC
Gambia2
Burundi0
L
05.09.25
WC
Ivory Coast1
Burundi0
L
10.06.25
FI
Burundi0
Mauritania0
D
06.06.25
FI
Guinea Bissau0
Burundi1
W
Algeria
25.09.26
ACN
Algeria3
Zambia1
W
03.07.26
WC
Switzerland2
Algeria0
L
28.06.26
WC
Algeria3
Austria3
D
23.06.26
WC
Jordan1
Algeria2
W
17.06.26
WC
Argentina3
Algeria0
L
11.06.26
FI
Bolivia0
Algeria4
W
03.06.26
FI
Netherlands0
Algeria1
W
31.03.26
FI
Algeria0
Uruguay0
D
27.03.26
FI
Algeria7
Guatemala0
W
10.01.26
ACN
Algeria0
Nigeria2
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stade Intwari (Bujumbura), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.34, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 18. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 30 Sep 2026, 9:05am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Burundi vs Algeria?
Our selection is 2 - Algeria to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is Burundi's current form?
Burundi have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Algeria been performing recently?
Algeria have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Burundi lead with 0 wins versus Algeria's 3, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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