LOST Tip LOST Ghana 2-4 Gambia

Ghana vs Gambia - Prediction & Betting Tips

GGhana 2-4 GambiaG
5:00 pm .Accra Sports Stadium (Accra)
Home
LLLDW
1W 2D 7L
v Declining
Away
WLLDW
5W 2D 3L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 29th September 2026
1
Backing Ghana to win
Implied Prob
63.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-17.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Ghana to win
1.58
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ghana vs Gambia Competition: AFCON Qualifier Date: Tuesday, 29th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Ghana to win) Odds: 1.58 Confidence: 46% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
2
Ghana
0
Draws
0
Gambia
2
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ghana won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Ghana
Metric
Gambia
0.5
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1.6
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
1-2-7
W - D - L
5-2-3
Win Rate
10%
50%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
G0
0-0 12.0%
0-1 13.1%
0-2 7.2%
0-3 2.6%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
G1
1-0 12.4%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 2.7%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
G2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 6.9%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.4%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 1.3%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
G4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 12.4% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-1 6.9% model probability
2-0 6.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Ghana
Overall
1.6v
Scoring
1.7v
Defence
4.7v
Gambia
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
8.0^
Defence
4.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes8%
Home Win & BTTS No5%
Draw & BTTS Yes15%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes37%
Away Win & BTTS No25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.57%
Home Win & Under 2.56%
Draw & Over 2.514%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.534%
Away Win & Under 2.528%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
01.10.19
WCN
Ghana1
Gambia0
09.09.17
WCN
Ghana1
Gambia0
Recent Form
Ghana
24.09.26
ACN
Ivory Coast2
Ghana0
L
04.07.26
WC
Colombia1
Ghana0
L
27.06.26
WC
Croatia2
Ghana1
L
23.06.26
WC
England0
Ghana0
D
18.06.26
WC
Ghana1
Panama0
W
02.06.26
FI
Wales1
Ghana1
D
23.05.26
FI
Mexico2
Ghana0
L
30.03.26
FI
Germany2
Ghana1
L
27.03.26
FI
Austria5
Ghana1
L
18.11.25
FI
South Korea1
Ghana0
L
Gambia
25.09.26
ACN
Gambia2
Somalia1
W
29.05.26
FI
Iran3
Gambia1
L
31.03.26
FI
Senegal3
Gambia1
L
18.11.25
FI
Kuwait2
Gambia2
D
14.10.25
WC
Seychelles0
Gambia7
W
10.10.25
WC
Gambia3
Gabon4
L
09.09.25
WC
Gambia2
Burundi0
W
05.09.25
WC
Kenya1
Gambia3
W
09.06.25
FI
Uganda1
Gambia1
D
06.06.25
FI
Equatorial Guinea1
Gambia2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Accra Sports Stadium (Accra), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.58, a call we are confident in at roughly 52%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 30 Sep 2026, 8:58am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Ghana vs Gambia?
Our selection is 1 - Ghana to win, priced at approximately 1.58. Tip confidence rating: 46%.
What is Ghana's current form?
Ghana have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gambia been performing recently?
Gambia have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ghana lead with 2 wins versus Gambia's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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