Strong Signal
83%

Czech Republic vs Spain - Prediction & Betting Tips

CCzech Republic vs SpainS
8:45 pm .- .epet ARENA (Prague)
Home
LLLLL
2W 2D 6L
^ Improving
Away
WWWWW
10W 0D 0L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 12th November 2026
2
Backing Spain to win
Implied Prob
85.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-2.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Spain to win
1.17
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Czech Republic vs Spain Competition: UEFA Nations League Date: Thursday, 12th November 2026 KO: 8:45 pm Pick: 2 (Spain to win) Odds: 1.17 Confidence: 83% Model Correct Score: 0-2 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
0
Czech Republic
2
Draws
6
Spain
8
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
38%
BTTS
38%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Spain won 6 of 8 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Czech Republic
Metric
Spain
1.1
Goals For / Game
2.2
2
Goals Against / Game
0.6
0%
Clean Sheets
50%
2-2-6
W - D - L
10-0-0
Win Rate
20%
100%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
C0
0-0 7.6%
0-1 14.4%
0-2 13.5%
0-3 8.5%
0-4 4.0%
0-5 1.5%
C1
1-0 5.3%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 9.3%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 2.8%
1-5 1.0%
C2
2-0 1.8%
2-1 3.4%
2-2 3.2%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.4%
C3
3-0 0.4%
3-1 0.8%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
C4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-2 13.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
0-1 14.4% model probability
1-2 9.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Czech Republic
Overall
2.6^
Scoring
3.7^
Defence
3.3^
Spain
Overall
10.0-
Scoring
7.3-
Defence
8.0-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes9%
Home Win & BTTS No6%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes46%
Away Win & BTTS No31%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.511%
Home Win & Under 2.55%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.554%
Away Win & Under 2.523%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
03.10.26
UNL
Spain3
Czech Republic1
12.06.22
UNL
Spain2
Czech Republic0
05.06.22
UNL
Czech Republic2
Spain2
13.06.16
EUR
Spain1
Czech Republic0
07.10.11
EUR
Czech Republic0
Spain2
25.03.11
EUR
Spain2
Czech Republic1
07.06.97
WC
Spain1
Czech Republic0
08.10.96
WC
Czech Republic0
Spain0
Recent Form
Czech Republic
06.10.26
UNL
England3
Czech Republic0
L
03.10.26
UNL
Spain3
Czech Republic1
L
29.09.26
UNL
Czech Republic0
England2
L
26.09.26
UNL
Czech Republic1
Croatia2
L
25.06.26
WC
Czech Republic0
Mexico3
L
18.06.26
WC
Czech Republic1
South Africa1
D
12.06.26
WC
South Korea2
Czech Republic1
L
05.06.26
FI
Czech Republic3
Guatemala1
W
31.05.26
FI
Czech Republic2
Kosovo1
W
31.03.26
WC
Czech Republic2
Denmark (3-1)2
Spain
06.10.26
UNL
Croatia1
Spain2
W
03.10.26
UNL
Spain3
Czech Republic1
W
29.09.26
UNL
Spain4
Croatia1
W
26.09.26
UNL
England2
Spain3
W
19.07.26
WC
Spain1
Argentina0
W
14.07.26
WC
France0
Spain2
W
10.07.26
WC
Spain2
Belgium1
W
06.07.26
WC
Portugal0
Spain1
W
02.07.26
WC
Spain3
Austria0
W
27.06.26
WC
Uruguay0
Spain1
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this UEFA Nations League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at epet ARENA (Prague), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.17, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 23. The fixture starts at 8:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are UEFA Nations League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 12 Nov 2026, 6:37am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Czech Republic vs Spain?
Our selection is 2 - Spain to win, priced at approximately 1.17. Tip confidence rating: 83%.
What is Czech Republic's current form?
Czech Republic have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Spain been performing recently?
Spain have recorded 10 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Czech Republic lead with 0 wins versus Spain's 6, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 38%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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