Strong Signal
65%

Ivory Coast vs Gambia - Prediction & Betting Tips

IIvory Coast vs GambiaG
8:00 pm .- .Stade de la Paix (Bouaké)
Home
LWWLW
7W 0D 3L
^ Improving
Away
WWLLD
5W 2D 3L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 12th November 2026
1
Backing Ivory Coast to win
Implied Prob
83.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-18.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Ivory Coast to win
1.20
Over 1.5 Goals85%Ivory Coast Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ivory Coast vs Gambia Competition: AFCON Qualifier Date: Thursday, 12th November 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Ivory Coast to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 65% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Ivory Coast Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
5
Ivory Coast
0
Draws
1
Gambia
6
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
17%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Ivory Coast won 5 of the last 6 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Ivory Coast
Metric
Gambia
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.6
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.7
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-0-3
W - D - L
5-2-3
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
I0
0-0 4.6%
0-1 5.1%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
I1
1-0 9.1%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 5.5%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
I2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
I3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.6%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
I4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
I5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.9% model probability
1-0 9.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 9.0% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Ivory Coast
Overall
7.0^
Scoring
4.7^
Defence
8.0^
Gambia
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
8.7^
Defence
4.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes30%
Home Win & BTTS No24%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes21%
Away Win & BTTS No17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.524%
Draw & Over 2.54%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.521%
Away Win & Under 2.517%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
24.03.25
WC
Ivory Coast1
Gambia0
20.11.23
WC
Gambia0
Ivory Coast2
08.06.13
WC
Gambia0
Ivory Coast3
23.03.13
WC
Ivory Coast3
Gambia0
04.11.84
WC
Gambia3
Ivory Coast2
21.10.84
WC
Ivory Coast4
Gambia0
Recent Form
Ivory Coast
03.10.26
FI
Ivory Coast0
Cameroon1
L
29.09.26
ACN
Somalia0
Ivory Coast2
W
24.09.26
ACN
Ivory Coast2
Ghana0
W
30.06.26
WC
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
L
25.06.26
WC
Curacao0
Ivory Coast2
W
20.06.26
WC
Germany2
Ivory Coast1
L
15.06.26
WC
Ivory Coast1
Ecuador0
W
09.06.26
FI
Philadelphia Union II0
Ivory Coast2
W
04.06.26
FI
France1
Ivory Coast2
W
31.03.26
FI
Scotland0
Ivory Coast1
W
Gambia
29.09.26
ACN
Ghana2
Gambia4
W
25.09.26
ACN
Gambia2
Somalia1
W
29.05.26
FI
Iran3
Gambia1
L
31.03.26
FI
Senegal3
Gambia1
L
18.11.25
FI
Kuwait2
Gambia2
D
14.10.25
WC
Seychelles0
Gambia7
W
10.10.25
WC
Gambia3
Gabon4
L
09.09.25
WC
Gambia2
Burundi0
W
05.09.25
WC
Kenya1
Gambia3
W
09.06.25
FI
Uganda1
Gambia1
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stade de la Paix (Bouaké), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.20, a call we are confident in at roughly around 5 in 10. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 12 Nov 2026, 6:37am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?
Our selection is 1 - Ivory Coast to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 65%.
What is Ivory Coast's current form?
Ivory Coast have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gambia been performing recently?
Gambia have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ivory Coast lead with 5 wins versus Gambia's 1, with 0 draws across 6 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 17%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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