WON Tip WON Dinamo Zagreb 1-0 Gorica

Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica - Prediction & Betting Tips

DDinamo Zagreb 1-0 GoricaG
5:00 pm .Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)
Home
DLWDW
6W 3D 1L
v Declining
Away
DLLLL
2W 1D 7L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 5th September 2026
1
Backing Dinamo Zagreb to win
Implied Prob
86.2%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-24.2%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Dinamo Zagreb to win
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica Competition: Croatia HNL Date: Saturday, 5th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Dinamo Zagreb to win) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 62% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
7
Dinamo Zagreb
1
Draws
2
Gorica
10
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Dinamo Zagreb won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Dinamo Zagreb
Metric
Gorica
2.5
Goals For / Game
0.9
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-3-1
W - D - L
2-1-7
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

G0
G1
G2
G3
G4
G5
D0
0-0 3.4%
0-1 4.0%
0-2 2.3%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 8.4%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.2%
D3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 7.2%
3-2 4.2%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 4.0%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
D5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 1.8%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.7% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 8.4% model probability
1-0 7.6% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Dinamo Zagreb
Overall
6.9^
Scoring
8.3^
Defence
6.0^
Gorica
Overall
2.3^
Scoring
3.0^
Defence
4.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes33%
Home Win & BTTS No27%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes11%
Away Win & BTTS No9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.536%
Home Win & Under 2.524%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.512%
Away Win & Under 2.58%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
02.05.26
HNL
Gorica1
Din. Zagreb2
08.04.26
CUP
Gorica3
Din. Zagreb6
01.03.26
HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Gorica2
01.12.25
HNL
Gorica0
Din. Zagreb2
14.09.25
HNL
Din. Zagreb1
Gorica2
23.04.25
HNL
Gorica1
Din. Zagreb0
15.02.25
HNL
Din. Zagreb3
Gorica1
09.11.24
HNL
Gorica2
Din. Zagreb2
24.08.24
HNL
Din. Zagreb2
Gorica1
13.04.24
HNL
Gorica0
Din. Zagreb2
Recent Form
Dinamo Zagreb
29.08.26
HNL
Istra 19612
Din. Zagreb2
D
26.08.26
CL
Viking3
Din. Zagreb1
L
22.08.26
HNL
Din. Zagreb3
Varazdin1
W
18.08.26
CL
Din. Zagreb2
Viking2
D
14.08.26
HNL
Din. Zagreb4
Rudes0
W
11.08.26
CL
Kauno Zalgiris1
Din. Zagreb2
W
04.08.26
CL
Din. Zagreb5
Kauno Zalgiris0
W
31.07.26
HNL
Din. Zagreb2
Slaven Belupo0
W
28.07.26
CL
Din. Zagreb3
Thun2
W
21.07.26
CL
Thun1
Din. Zagreb1
D
Gorica
31.08.26
HNL
Gorica0
Rijeka0
D
22.08.26
HNL
Slaven Belupo2
Gorica0
L
16.08.26
HNL
Gorica1
Hajduk Split2
L
08.08.26
HNL
Lok. Zagreb3
Gorica1
L
01.08.26
HNL
Gorica0
Osijek2
L
23.07.26
CF
Gorica0
Shakhtar Donetsk2
L
19.07.26
CF
St. Pauli2
Gorica1
L
16.07.26
CF
Gorica1
Epitsentr0
W
13.07.26
CF
Gorica0
Goztepe2
L
09.07.26
CF
Brezice1
Gorica5
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Croatia HNL fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.16, a call we are confident in at roughly around 6 in 10. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Croatia HNL predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 7 Sep 2026, 10:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Dinamo Zagreb vs Gorica?
Our selection is 1 - Dinamo Zagreb to win, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Dinamo Zagreb's current form?
Dinamo Zagreb have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Gorica been performing recently?
Gorica have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dinamo Zagreb lead with 7 wins versus Gorica's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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