WON Tip WON Hoffenheim 2-3 Borussia Dortmund

Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Betting Tips

HHoffenheim 2-3 Borussia DortmundB
2:30 pm .SNP Arena (Sinsheim)
Home
LWDLW
5W 2D 3L
v Declining
Away
WWLDW
6W 1D 3L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 5th September 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
69%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+2%
Value detected
Kelly %
6.6%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 5th September 2026 KO: 2:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 71% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
2
Hoffenheim
1
Draws
7
Borussia Dortmund
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Over 2.5 in 50% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Hoffenheim
Metric
Borussia Dortmund
2.1
Goals For / Game
2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
1
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
5-2-3
W - D - L
6-1-3
Win Rate
50%
60%
3.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
H0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 7.0%
0-3 4.2%
0-4 1.9%
0-5 0.7%
H1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 9.4%
1-3 5.6%
1-4 2.5%
1-5 0.9%
H2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 7.0%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.6%
H3
3-0 1.8%
3-1 3.2%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
H4
4-0 0.6%
4-1 1.1%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 10.4% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-2 9.4% model probability
0-1 7.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Hoffenheim
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
7.0^
Defence
4.7^
Borussia Dortmund
Overall
6.3-
Scoring
6.7-
Defence
6.7-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes18%
Home Win & BTTS No22%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes22%
Away Win & BTTS No26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.510%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.536%
Away Win & Under 2.512%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
18.04.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Dortmund1
07.12.25
BUN
Dortmund2
Hoffenheim0
26.04.25
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Dortmund3
15.12.24
BUN
Dortmund1
Hoffenheim1
25.02.24
BUN
Dortmund2
Hoffenheim3
01.11.23
POK
Dortmund1
Hoffenheim0
29.09.23
BUN
Hoffenheim1
Dortmund3
25.02.23
BUN
Hoffenheim0
Dortmund1
02.09.22
BUN
Dortmund1
Hoffenheim0
22.01.22
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Dortmund3
Recent Form
Hoffenheim
29.08.26
BUN
FC Koln3
Hoffenheim2
L
22.08.26
POK
Aue0
Hoffenheim4
W
16.08.26
CF
Tottenham2
Hoffenheim2
D
15.08.26
CF
Tottenham3
Hoffenheim0
L
01.08.26
CF
Hoffenheim3
Karlsruher SC0
W
29.07.26
CF
Hoffenheim3
Holstein Kiel1
W
18.07.26
CF
Freiberg0
Hoffenheim3
W
16.05.26
BUN
B. Monchengladbach4
Hoffenheim0
L
09.05.26
BUN
Hoffenheim1
Werder Bremen0
W
02.05.26
BUN
Hoffenheim3
Stuttgart3
D
Borussia Dortmund
01.09.26
POK
HEBC Hamburg0
Dortmund5
W
29.08.26
BUN
Dortmund2
Hamburger SV0
W
22.08.26
SC
Dortmund1
Bayern Munich2
L
15.08.26
CF
Dortmund2
AS Roma2
D
09.08.26
EMI
Arsenal2
Dortmund3
W
01.08.26
CF
FC Tokyo0
Dortmund1
W
29.07.26
CF
Cerezo Osaka1
Dortmund0
L
25.07.26
CF
Dusseldorf2
Dortmund1
L
18.07.26
CF
Oberhausen1
Dortmund3
W
16.05.26
BUN
Werder Bremen0
Dortmund2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this German Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at SNP Arena (Sinsheim), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.45, a call we are confident in at roughly 81%. The fixture starts at 2:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are German Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 7 Sep 2026, 10:34am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our selection is Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Hoffenheim's current form?
Hoffenheim have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Borussia Dortmund been performing recently?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hoffenheim lead with 2 wins versus Borussia Dortmund's 7, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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