Moderate Signal
64%

FC Porto vs Estoril - Prediction & Betting Tips

FFC Porto vs EstorilE
9:30 pm .- .Estádio do Dragão (Porto)
Home
WWLLW
7W 0D 3L
v Declining
Away
LWLLL
0W 3D 7L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 31st October 2026
1
Backing FC Porto to win
Implied Prob
84.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-20.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
6
FC Porto
1
Draws
3
Estoril
10
Meetings
2.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip FC Porto won 6 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
FC Porto
Metric
Estoril
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.6
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-0-3
W - D - L
0-3-7
Win Rate
70%
0%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
F0
0-0 9.2%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.7%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
F1
1-0 14.8%
1-1 11.5%
1-2 4.4%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
F2
2-0 12.0%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
F3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
F4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
F5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 14.8% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 12.0% model probability
2-1 9.3% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
FC Porto
Overall
7.0^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
6.3^
Estoril
Overall
0.9-
Scoring
2.0-
Defence
4.7-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes49%
Home Win & BTTS No33%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes0%
Away Win & BTTS No0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.541%
Home Win & Under 2.541%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.59%
Away Win & Over 2.50%
Away Win & Under 2.50%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
12.04.26
LP
Estoril1
FC Porto3
30.11.25
LP
FC Porto1
Estoril0
30.03.25
LP
Estoril1
FC Porto2
03.11.24
LP
FC Porto4
Estoril0
30.03.24
LP
Estoril1
FC Porto0
09.01.24
TP
Estoril0
FC Porto4
06.12.23
CUP
Estoril3
FC Porto1
03.11.23
LP
FC Porto0
Estoril1
10.03.23
LP
FC Porto3
Estoril2
17.09.22
LP
Estoril1
FC Porto1
Recent Form
FC Porto
28.10.26
CUP
FC Porto1
Academico Viseu0
W
24.10.26
LP
Gil Vicente0
FC Porto1
W
20.10.26
CL
FC Porto0
PSV1
L
14.10.26
CL
Betis3
FC Porto2
L
10.10.26
LP
Maritimo1
FC Porto2
W
02.10.26
CF
Dep. A Coruna1
FC Porto3
W
20.09.26
LP
FC Porto3
Benfica1
W
12.09.26
LP
Casa Pia1
FC Porto4
W
08.09.26
CL
FC Porto0
Manchester City2
L
04.09.26
LP
FC Porto2
Moreirense1
W
Estoril
25.10.26
LP
Estoril1
Moreirense3
L
18.10.26
TP
Salgueiros1
Estoril (1-4)1
10.10.26
LP
Academico Viseu2
Estoril1
L
20.09.26
LP
Estoril1
Casa Pia2
L
14.09.26
LP
Braga1
Estoril0
L
07.09.26
LP
Estoril0
Arouca0
D
31.08.26
LP
Benfica2
Estoril1
L
22.08.26
LP
Estoril0
Rio Ave2
L
16.08.26
LP
Nacional2
Estoril0
L
07.08.26
LP
Estoril1
Famalicao1
D
FC Porto (Home)
28.10.26
CUP
FC Porto1
Academico Viseu0
W
20.10.26
CL
FC Porto0
PSV1
L
20.09.26
LP
FC Porto3
Benfica1
W
08.09.26
CL
FC Porto0
Manchester City2
L
04.09.26
LP
FC Porto2
Moreirense1
W
23.08.26
LP
FC Porto2
Arouca0
W
09.08.26
LP
FC Porto2
Alverca0
W
01.08.26
SC
FC Porto1
Torreense0
W
25.07.26
CF
FC Porto2
Aston Villa1
W
16.05.26
LP
FC Porto1
Santa Clara0
W
Estoril (Away)
18.10.26
TP
Salgueiros1
Estoril (1-4)1
10.10.26
LP
Academico Viseu2
Estoril1
L
14.09.26
LP
Braga1
Estoril0
L
31.08.26
LP
Benfica2
Estoril1
L
16.08.26
LP
Nacional2
Estoril0
L
31.07.26
CF
Os Belenenses1
Estoril1
D
22.07.26
CF
Alverca2
Estoril0
L
10.05.26
LP
Alverca1
Estoril1
D
03.05.26
LP
Braga1
Estoril1
D
20.04.26
LP
Moreirense1
Estoril0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Liga Portugal fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Estádio do Dragão (Porto), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.18, a call we are confident in at roughly 63%. The fixture starts at 9:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Liga Portugal predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 31 Oct 2026, 6:12am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for FC Porto vs Estoril?
Our selection is 1 - FC Porto to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is FC Porto's current form?
FC Porto have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Estoril been performing recently?
Estoril have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
FC Porto lead with 6 wins versus Estoril's 3, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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