WON Tip WON Gabala 0-4 Sabah Baku

Gabala vs Sabah Baku - Prediction & Betting Tips

GGabala 0-4 Sabah BakuS
1:00 pm .Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu (Gabala)
Home
LLLWD
4W 1D 5L
^ Improving
Away
WDWWL
7W 1D 2L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 17th October 2026
2
Backing Sabah Baku to win
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-6.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Sabah Baku to win
1.31
BTTS - No65%Sabah Baku Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gabala vs Sabah Baku Competition: Azerbaijan Premier League Date: Saturday, 17th October 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 2 (Sabah Baku to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 70% Model Correct Score: 0-1 Also: BTTS - No (65%) Also: Sabah Baku Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
2
Gabala
3
Draws
5
Sabah Baku
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Sabah Baku won 5 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Gabala
Metric
Sabah Baku
1
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.3
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
60%
4-1-5
W - D - L
7-1-2
Win Rate
40%
70%
2.7
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
G0
0-0 7.0%
0-1 11.1%
0-2 8.8%
0-3 4.7%
0-4 1.9%
0-5 0.6%
G1
1-0 7.5%
1-1 11.9%
1-2 9.5%
1-3 5.0%
1-4 2.0%
1-5 0.6%
G2
2-0 4.0%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 5.1%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
G3
3-0 1.4%
3-1 2.3%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-1 11.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-2 9.5% model probability
0-2 8.8% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Gabala
Overall
4.3^
Scoring
3.3^
Defence
5.7^
Sabah Baku
Overall
7.3^
Scoring
7.3^
Defence
7.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes12%
Home Win & BTTS No21%
Draw & BTTS Yes3%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes21%
Away Win & BTTS No38%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.518%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.54%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.532%
Away Win & Under 2.527%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
10.03.26
PL
Sabah Baku7
Gabala1
05.03.26
CUP
Gabala3
Sabah Baku (2-4)3
16.02.26
PL
Gabala0
Sabah Baku1
04.02.26
CUP
Sabah Baku0
Gabala0
03.11.25
PL
Sabah Baku1
Gabala0
12.05.24
PL
Gabala2
Sabah Baku0
09.03.24
PL
Sabah Baku2
Gabala1
22.12.23
PL
Gabala1
Sabah Baku0
06.08.23
PL
Sabah Baku5
Gabala0
03.07.23
CF
Gabala2
Sabah Baku2
Recent Form
Gabala
10.10.26
PL
Sumqayit4
Gabala1
L
18.09.26
PL
Gabala0
Neftci Baku3
L
12.09.26
PL
Kapaz1
Gabala0
L
04.09.26
PL
Gabala2
Imisli FK1
W
29.08.26
PL
Gabala0
Shamakhi0
D
22.08.26
PL
Gabala0
Safa Baku1
L
14.08.26
PL
Turan Tovuz1
Gabala0
L
28.05.26
PL
Gabala2
Mingachevir0
W
21.05.26
PL
Gabala3
Shamakhi1
W
15.05.26
PL
Karvan1
Gabala2
W
Sabah Baku
13.10.26
CL
Sabah Baku2
Slavia Prague0
W
09.10.26
PL
Neftci Baku0
Sabah Baku0
D
19.09.26
PL
Sabah Baku3
Imisli FK1
W
14.09.26
PL
Safa Baku0
Sabah Baku3
W
10.09.26
CL
Manchester Utd4
Sabah Baku0
L
05.09.26
PL
Sabah Baku5
Zira0
W
31.08.26
PL
Araz0
Sabah Baku1
W
25.08.26
CL
Sabah Baku5
H. Beer Sheva2
W
19.08.26
CL
H. Beer Sheva2
Sabah Baku1
L
15.08.26
PL
Sabah Baku2
Kapaz0
W
Gabala (Home)
18.09.26
PL
Gabala0
Neftci Baku3
L
04.09.26
PL
Gabala2
Imisli FK1
W
29.08.26
PL
Gabala0
Shamakhi0
D
22.08.26
PL
Gabala0
Safa Baku1
L
28.05.26
PL
Gabala2
Mingachevir0
W
21.05.26
PL
Gabala3
Shamakhi1
W
09.05.26
PL
Gabala1
Qarabag1
D
25.04.26
PL
Gabala1
Araz1
D
12.04.26
PL
Gabala0
Imisli FK1
L
15.03.26
PL
Gabala1
Neftci Baku3
L
Sabah Baku (Away)
09.10.26
PL
Neftci Baku0
Sabah Baku0
D
14.09.26
PL
Safa Baku0
Sabah Baku3
W
10.09.26
CL
Manchester Utd4
Sabah Baku0
L
31.08.26
PL
Araz0
Sabah Baku1
W
19.08.26
CL
H. Beer Sheva2
Sabah Baku1
L
05.08.26
CL
Aarhus2
Sabah Baku1
L
28.07.26
CL
KuPS0
Sabah Baku2
W
14.07.26
CL
TNS1
Sabah Baku2
W
02.07.26
CF
Polissya Zhytomyr4
Sabah Baku1
L
28.06.26
CF
Ferencvaros1
Sabah Baku1
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu (Gabala), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.31, a call we are confident in at roughly 19%. The fixture starts at 1:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Azerbaijan Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 19 Oct 2026, 8:26am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Gabala vs Sabah Baku?
Our selection is 2 - Sabah Baku to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Gabala's current form?
Gabala have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sabah Baku been performing recently?
Sabah Baku have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gabala lead with 2 wins versus Sabah Baku's 5, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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