WON Tip WON Viking 3-2 Fredrikstad

Viking vs Fredrikstad - Prediction & Betting Tips

VViking 3-2 FredrikstadF
5:00 pm .Lyse Arena (Stavanger)
Home
DWWWW
7W 2D 1L
^ Improving
Away
DDWDL
6W 3D 1L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 17th October 2026
1
Backing Viking to win
Implied Prob
84.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-21.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Viking to win
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Viking vs Fredrikstad Competition: Norway Eliteserien Date: Saturday, 17th October 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Viking to win) Odds: 1.18 Confidence: 63% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
6
Viking
2
Draws
2
Fredrikstad
10
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Viking won 6 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Viking
Metric
Fredrikstad
2.9
Goals For / Game
1.9
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
40%
7-2-1
W - D - L
6-3-1
Win Rate
70%
60%
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
V0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.4%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
V1
1-0 6.6%
1-1 9.1%
1-2 6.3%
1-3 2.9%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
V2
2-0 6.8%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
V3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
V4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.4% model probability
2-0 6.8% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 6.6% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Viking
Overall
7.6v
Scoring
9.7v
Defence
6.3v
Fredrikstad
Overall
6.9^
Scoring
6.3^
Defence
7.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes29%
Home Win & BTTS No16%
Draw & BTTS Yes10%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes25%
Away Win & BTTS No14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.525%
Home Win & Under 2.520%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.521%
Away Win & Under 2.518%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
25.04.26
ELI
Fredrikstad1
Viking2
23.11.25
ELI
Fredrikstad0
Viking1
22.06.25
ELI
Viking3
Fredrikstad0
01.03.25
CF
Viking2
Fredrikstad0
22.09.24
ELI
Fredrikstad3
Viking2
21.04.24
ELI
Viking1
Fredrikstad1
03.03.24
CF
Viking1
Fredrikstad1
07.06.23
NMC
Fredrikstad1
Viking2
12.08.12
ELI
Viking3
Fredrikstad0
29.05.12
ELI
Fredrikstad3
Viking0
Recent Form
Viking
13.10.26
CL
Viking3
Bayern Munich3
D
09.10.26
ELI
Brann0
Viking2
W
01.10.26
NMC
Madla IL0
Viking3
W
20.09.26
ELI
Viking3
Lillestrom0
W
13.09.26
ELI
Viking8
Kristiansund1
W
09.09.26
CL
Stuttgart3
Viking1
L
04.09.26
ELI
Sandefjord1
Viking1
D
02.09.26
NMC
Brodd1
Viking3
W
30.08.26
ELI
Viking2
Aalesund1
W
26.08.26
CL
Viking3
Din. Zagreb1
W
Fredrikstad
11.10.26
ELI
Fredrikstad1
Tromso1
D
20.09.26
ELI
Valerenga1
Fredrikstad1
D
16.09.26
NMC
Stjordals Blink0
Fredrikstad1
W
13.09.26
ELI
Fredrikstad1
Sarpsborg 081
D
04.09.26
ELI
Fredrikstad1
Bodo/Glimt2
L
30.08.26
ELI
Lillestrom1
Fredrikstad4
W
22.08.26
NMC
Eidsvold IF1
Fredrikstad7
W
16.08.26
ELI
Fredrikstad1
Kristiansund0
W
08.08.26
ELI
Start0
Fredrikstad1
W
01.08.26
ELI
Fredrikstad1
Sandefjord0
W
Viking (Home)
13.10.26
CL
Viking3
Bayern Munich3
D
20.09.26
ELI
Viking3
Lillestrom0
W
13.09.26
ELI
Viking8
Kristiansund1
W
30.08.26
ELI
Viking2
Aalesund1
W
26.08.26
CL
Viking3
Din. Zagreb1
W
08.08.26
ELI
Viking2
Sarpsborg 081
W
18.07.26
ELI
Viking2
Sandefjord1
W
16.05.26
ELI
Viking6
Start3
W
01.05.26
ELI
Viking3
Rosenborg0
W
18.04.26
ELI
Viking3
Brann2
W
Fredrikstad (Away)
20.09.26
ELI
Valerenga1
Fredrikstad1
D
16.09.26
NMC
Stjordals Blink0
Fredrikstad1
W
30.08.26
ELI
Lillestrom1
Fredrikstad4
W
22.08.26
NMC
Eidsvold IF1
Fredrikstad7
W
08.08.26
ELI
Start0
Fredrikstad1
W
27.07.26
ELI
Rosenborg4
Fredrikstad0
L
17.07.26
ELI
Bodo/Glimt1
Fredrikstad0
L
04.07.26
CF
Valerenga3
Fredrikstad1
L
25.05.26
ELI
Sandefjord1
Fredrikstad1
D
09.05.26
ELI
Sarpsborg 082
Fredrikstad1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Norway Eliteserien fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Lyse Arena (Stavanger), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.18, a call we are confident in at roughly 60%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Norway Eliteserien predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 19 Oct 2026, 8:25am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Our selection is 1 - Viking to win, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Viking's current form?
Viking have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fredrikstad been performing recently?
Fredrikstad have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viking lead with 6 wins versus Fredrikstad's 2, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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