WON Tip WON Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel Aviv

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv - Prediction & Betting Tips

HHapoel Beer Sheva 1-4 Maccabi Tel AvivM
6:30 pm .Toto Turner Stadium (Be'er Sheva)
Home
DWLWL
5W 1D 4L
v Declining
Away
WDWLW
6W 1D 3L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 7th September 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
88.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-1.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv Competition: Israel Ligat ha'Al Date: Monday, 7th September 2026 KO: 6:30 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 87% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2
Draws
4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 80% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Metric
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.5
Goals For / Game
2.1
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-1-4
W - D - L
6-1-3
Win Rate
50%
60%
3.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
H0
0-0 3.8%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 6.0%
0-3 3.6%
0-4 1.6%
0-5 0.6%
H1
1-0 5.6%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 5.4%
1-4 2.4%
1-5 0.9%
H2
2-0 4.2%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 1.8%
2-5 0.6%
H3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.7%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.9%
3-5 0.3%
H4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 10.0% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-2 9.0% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-1 7.5% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Overall
5.3^
Scoring
5.0^
Defence
4.0^
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Overall
6.3^
Scoring
7.0^
Defence
5.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes25%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes30%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.529%
Home Win & Under 2.513%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.535%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
16.07.26
SC
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
26.05.26
SC
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
19.05.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva4
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
28.04.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva0
12.04.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva3
07.12.25
LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
13.07.25
SC
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva2
05.05.25
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
H. Beer Sheva1
31.03.25
LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
01.01.25
LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Recent Form
Hapoel Beer Sheva
02.09.26
LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Haifa2
D
29.08.26
LH
Hap. Ramat Gan1
H. Beer Sheva2
W
25.08.26
CL
Sabah Baku5
H. Beer Sheva2
L
19.08.26
CL
H. Beer Sheva2
Sabah Baku1
W
15.08.26
TOT
Hapoel Haifa4
H. Beer Sheva0
L
11.08.26
CL
Crvena zvezda0
H. Beer Sheva2
W
04.08.26
CL
H. Beer Sheva1
Crvena zvezda0
W
29.07.26
CL
H. Beer Sheva2
Vikingur Reykjavik0
W
21.07.26
CL
Vikingur Reykjavik2
H. Beer Sheva1
L
16.07.26
SC
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
L
Maccabi Tel Aviv
31.08.26
LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
Maccabi Haifa1
W
27.08.26
UECL
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Lugano1
D
23.08.26
LH
Hapoel Jerusalem2
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
W
20.08.26
UECL
Lugano2
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
L
16.08.26
TOT
Netanya0
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
W
13.08.26
EL
CSKA Sofia1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
W
06.08.26
EL
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
CSKA Sofia3
L
30.07.26
EL
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Sheriff Tiraspol0
W
23.07.26
EL
Sheriff Tiraspol0
Maccabi Tel Aviv5
W
16.07.26
SC
H. Beer Sheva1
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Israel Ligat ha’Al fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Toto Turner Stadium (Be’er Sheva), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.13, a call we are confident in at roughly around 9 in 10. The fixture starts at 6:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Israel Ligat ha'Al predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 10 Sep 2026, 6:19pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
Our selection is Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 87%.
What is Hapoel Beer Sheva's current form?
Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Maccabi Tel Aviv been performing recently?
Maccabi Tel Aviv have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hapoel Beer Sheva lead with 4 wins versus Maccabi Tel Aviv's 4, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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