LOST Tip LOST RFS 0-0 FK Liepaja

RFS vs FK Liepaja - Prediction & Betting Tips

RRFS 0-0 FK LiepajaF
5:00 pm .LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)
Home
LWDWL
5W 2D 3L
^ Improving
Away
WLWWL
5W 0D 5L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 7th September 2026
1
Backing RFS to win
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-14.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - RFS to win
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
RFS vs FK Liepaja Competition: Latvia Virsliga Date: Monday, 7th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (RFS to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 57% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
8
RFS
1
Draws
1
FK Liepaja
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip RFS won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
RFS
Metric
FK Liepaja
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.4
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W - D - L
5-0-5
Win Rate
50%
50%
3.2
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
R0
0-0 3.6%
0-1 3.9%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
R1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.7%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 9.1%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
R3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 7.3%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
R4
4-0 3.8%
4-1 4.1%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
R5
5-0 1.7%
5-1 1.9%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.8% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 9.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 8.1% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
RFS
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
7.3^
Defence
5.7^
FK Liepaja
Overall
5.0v
Scoring
4.7v
Defence
5.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes27%
Home Win & BTTS No18%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes28%
Away Win & BTTS No18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.527%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.528%
Away Win & Under 2.518%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
26.06.26
VIR
FK Liepaja0
RFS2
08.05.26
VIR
RFS5
FK Liepaja0
13.03.26
VIR
FK Liepaja0
RFS1
28.09.25
VIR
FK Liepaja2
RFS2
04.07.25
VIR
RFS2
FK Liepaja1
14.05.25
VIR
FK Liepaja2
RFS1
29.03.25
VIR
RFS4
FK Liepaja1
20.09.24
VIR
RFS2
FK Liepaja0
01.07.24
VIR
FK Liepaja1
RFS3
10.05.24
VIR
RFS4
FK Liepaja1
Recent Form
RFS
03.09.26
LC
RFS2
Riga FC3
L
30.08.26
VIR
Ogre United0
RFS3
W
23.08.26
VIR
RFS3
Riga FC3
D
16.08.26
LC
Super Nova0
RFS1
W
13.08.26
UECL
RFS1
Jablonec2
L
10.08.26
VIR
RFS6
Grobina1
W
06.08.26
UECL
Jablonec2
RFS0
L
30.07.26
UECL
Vestri1
RFS1
D
27.07.26
VIR
Tukums 20000
RFS1
W
23.07.26
UECL
RFS4
Vestri1
W
FK Liepaja
31.08.26
VIR
FK Liepaja3
Riga FC2
W
25.08.26
VIR
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
L
21.08.26
VIR
FK Liepaja3
Grobina1
W
09.08.26
VIR
Super Nova1
FK Liepaja2
W
02.08.26
VIR
Tukums 20002
FK Liepaja1
L
30.07.26
UECL
Austria Vienna3
FK Liepaja1
L
26.07.26
VIR
Jelgava0
FK Liepaja2
W
23.07.26
UECL
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
L
15.07.26
UECL
Decic1
FK Liepaja2
W
11.07.26
LC
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
L
RFS (Home)
03.09.26
LC
RFS2
Riga FC3
L
23.08.26
VIR
RFS3
Riga FC3
D
13.08.26
UECL
RFS1
Jablonec2
L
10.08.26
VIR
RFS6
Grobina1
W
23.07.26
UECL
RFS4
Vestri1
W
16.07.26
UECL
RFS2
Glentoran0
W
12.07.26
LC
RFS2
Jelgava0
W
04.07.26
VIR
RFS1
Auda1
D
30.06.26
VIR
RFS3
BFC Daugavpils1
W
22.06.26
VIR
RFS6
Ogre United0
W
FK Liepaja (Away)
25.08.26
VIR
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
L
09.08.26
VIR
Super Nova1
FK Liepaja2
W
02.08.26
VIR
Tukums 20002
FK Liepaja1
L
30.07.26
UECL
Austria Vienna3
FK Liepaja1
L
26.07.26
VIR
Jelgava0
FK Liepaja2
W
15.07.26
UECL
Decic1
FK Liepaja2
W
11.07.26
LC
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
L
04.07.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils3
FK Liepaja1
L
21.06.26
VIR
Riga FC4
FK Liepaja0
L
16.06.26
VIR
Grobina1
FK Liepaja0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Latvia Virsliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at LNK Sporta Parks (Riga), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.40, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 48. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Latvia Virsliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 10 Sep 2026, 6:19pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for RFS vs FK Liepaja?
Our selection is 1 - RFS to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is RFS's current form?
RFS have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Liepaja been performing recently?
FK Liepaja have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
RFS lead with 8 wins versus FK Liepaja's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer