WON Tip WON Hoffenheim 3-1 Holstein Kiel

Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel — Prediction & Betting Tips

HHoffenheim 3-1 Holstein KielH
5:00 pm ·N/A
Home
WLWDW
4W 2D 4L
▼ Declining
Away
LDWWL
5W 1D 4L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 29th July 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
72.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+12.5%
Value detected
Kelly %
45.5%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.38
Over 2.5 Goals85%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Competition: Club Friendly Date: Wednesday, 29th July 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 85% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
3
Hoffenheim
0
Draws
0
Holstein Kiel
3
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 100% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Hoffenheim
Metric
Holstein Kiel
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.7
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate
40%
50%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0 1.5%
0-1 2.5%
0-2 2.1%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.2%
H1
1-0 3.7%
1-1 6.2%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
H2
2-0 4.7%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
H3
3-0 4.0%
3-1 6.7%
3-2 5.7%
3-3 3.2%
3-4 1.4%
3-5 0.5%
H4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 4.3%
4-2 3.6%
4-3 2.0%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.3%
H5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 2.2%
5-2 1.8%
5-3 1.0%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2–1 7.9% model probability
2–2 6.7% model probability
3–1 6.7% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Hoffenheim
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
2.3
Holstein Kiel
Overall
5.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No15%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes29%
Away Win & BTTS No19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.532%
Home Win & Under 2.56%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.541%
Away Win & Under 2.57%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
18.01.25
BUN
Holstein Kiel1
Hoffenheim3
24.08.24
BUN
Hoffenheim3
Holstein Kiel2
26.10.21
POK
Hoffenheim5
Holstein Kiel1
Recent Form
Hoffenheim
18.07.26
CF
Freiberg0
Hoffenheim3
W
16.05.26
BUN
B. Monchengladbach4
Hoffenheim0
L
09.05.26
BUN
Hoffenheim1
Werder Bremen0
W
02.05.26
BUN
Hoffenheim3
Stuttgart3
D
25.04.26
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Hoffenheim2
W
18.04.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Dortmund1
W
10.04.26
BUN
Augsburg2
Hoffenheim2
D
04.04.26
BUN
Hoffenheim1
Mainz2
L
26.03.26
CF
Hoffenheim3
Elversberg5
L
20.03.26
BUN
RB Leipzig5
Hoffenheim0
L
Holstein Kiel
25.07.26
CF
Mainz3
Holstein Kiel0
L
18.07.26
CF
Swansea2
Holstein Kiel2
D
15.07.26
CF
Holstein Kiel4
Al Ahli SC1
W
10.07.26
CF
Holstein Kiel2
Sonderjyske1
W
04.07.26
CF
Holstein Kiel1
Fredericia3
L
17.05.26
2BUN
SG Dynamo Dresden2
Holstein Kiel1
L
09.05.26
2BUN
Holstein Kiel1
Magdeburg3
L
02.05.26
2BUN
Holstein Kiel2
Braunschweig0
W
25.04.26
2BUN
Hertha Berlin0
Holstein Kiel1
W
17.04.26
2BUN
Holstein Kiel3
Kaiserslautern0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Club Friendly fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at N/A, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.38, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 2.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Club Friendly predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 30 Jul 2026, 3:27pm
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Hoffenheim's current form?
Hoffenheim have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Holstein Kiel been performing recently?
Holstein Kiel have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hoffenheim lead with 3 wins versus Holstein Kiel's 0, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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