Moderate Signal
63%

Jong AZ vs Eindhoven — Prediction & Betting Tips

JJong AZ vs EindhovenE
7:00 pm · ·AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer)
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6W 1D 3L
▼ Declining
Away
LLLDD
3W 3D 4L
▲ Improving
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 10th August 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-8.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Jong AZ vs Eindhoven Competition: Eerste Divisie Date: Monday, 10th August 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 63% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
1
Jong AZ
3
Draws
6
Eindhoven
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Over 2.5 in 40% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Jong AZ
Metric
Eindhoven
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.7
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-1-3
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
J0
0-0 4.8%
0-1 7.3%
0-2 5.6%
0-3 2.9%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.3%
J1
1-0 7.2%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 8.5%
1-3 4.3%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
J2
2-0 5.4%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 3.3%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
J3
3-0 2.7%
3-1 4.2%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.2%
J4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
J5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–1 11.0% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
1–2 8.5% model probability
1–0 7.2% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Jong AZ
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
4.3
Eindhoven
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes25%
Home Win & BTTS No30%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes12%
Away Win & BTTS No15%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.533%
Home Win & Under 2.522%
Draw & Over 2.511%
Draw & Under 2.57%
Away Win & Over 2.516%
Away Win & Under 2.511%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
19.12.25
EER
Eindhoven FC3
Jong AZ2
03.11.25
EER
Jong AZ0
Eindhoven FC2
02.05.25
EER
Eindhoven FC2
Jong AZ4
04.10.24
EER
Jong AZ2
Eindhoven FC3
01.03.24
EER
Eindhoven FC1
Jong AZ1
15.09.23
EER
Jong AZ0
Eindhoven FC0
17.03.23
EER
Jong AZ1
Eindhoven FC1
26.08.22
EER
Eindhoven FC1
Jong AZ0
25.02.22
EER
Jong AZ1
Eindhoven FC3
26.11.21
EER
Eindhoven FC1
Jong AZ0
Recent Form
Jong AZ
01.08.26
CF
IJsselmeervogels1
Jong AZ7
W
28.07.26
CF
Quick Boys1
Jong AZ4
W
25.07.26
CF
Jong Sparta Rotterdam2
Jong AZ3
W
17.07.26
CF
Jong AZ3
Jong Ajax0
W
11.07.26
CF
Jong AZ3
FC Volendam1
W
04.07.26
CF
Waalwijk1
Jong AZ1
D
24.04.26
EER
Jong AZ2
Roda0
W
17.04.26
EER
Willem II3
Jong AZ0
L
13.04.26
EER
Jong AZ0
Jong PSV2
L
06.04.26
EER
De Graafschap5
Jong AZ0
L
Eindhoven
01.08.26
CF
Beveren1
Eindhoven FC0
L
28.07.26
CF
PSV3
Eindhoven FC0
L
25.07.26
CF
Genk U234
Eindhoven FC2
L
18.07.26
CF
Eindhoven FC0
Den Bosch0
D
11.07.26
CF
Willem II2
Eindhoven FC2
D
08.07.26
CF
NAC Breda0
Eindhoven FC2
W
04.07.26
CF
De Treffers1
Eindhoven FC1
D
30.06.26
CF
Eindhoven FC3
UNA1
W
24.04.26
EER
Eindhoven FC1
Helmond0
W
17.04.26
EER
Jong Utrecht3
Eindhoven FC0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Eerste Divisie fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at AFAS Trainingscomplex (Wijdewormer), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.40, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "Over 2.5" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Eerste Divisie predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 10 Aug 2026, 7:12am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Jong AZ vs Eindhoven?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Jong AZ's current form?
Jong AZ have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Eindhoven been performing recently?
Eindhoven have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Jong AZ lead with 1 wins versus Eindhoven's 6, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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