Moderate Signal
62%

Lazio vs Mantova — Prediction & Betting Tips

LLazio vs MantovaM
8:15 pm · ·Stadio Olimpico (Rome)
Home
WWWWW
7W 0D 3L
▼ Declining
Away
LWWWL
7W 0D 3L
▼ Declining
100SureTips SelectionSunday, 16th August 2026
1
Backing Lazio to win
Lazio
50%
Draw
30%
Mantova
20%
H Fair Odds
2
D Fair Odds
3.33
A Fair Odds
5
Implied Prob
75.8%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-13.8%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 — Lazio to win
1.32
BTTS — No75%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Lazio vs Mantova Competition: Coppa Italia Date: Sunday, 16th August 2026 KO: 8:15 pm Pick: 1 (Lazio to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 62% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: BTTS — No (75%)
02Head to Head
5
Lazio
2
Draws
0
Mantova
7
Meetings
1.9
Avg Goals
14%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Lazio won 5 of the last 7 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Lazio
Metric
Mantova
2.4
Goals For / Game
0
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
7-0-3
W — D — L
7-0-3
Win Rate
70%
70%
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
L0
0-0 15.3%
0-1 6.8%
0-2 1.5%
0-3 0.2%
0-4 0.0%
0-5 0.0%
L1
1-0 21.9%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 2.2%
1-3 0.3%
1-4 0.0%
1-5 0.0%
L2
2-0 15.7%
2-1 7.0%
2-2 1.6%
2-3 0.2%
2-4 0.0%
2-5 0.0%
L3
3-0 7.5%
3-1 3.4%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
L4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1–0 21.9% model probability · seen ×1 in H2H
2–0 15.7% model probability · seen ×2 in H2H
3–0 7.5% model probability
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · blank = contradicts pick
05Market Odds Intelligence
Lazio Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Mantova Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on our probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
06Team Ratings
Lazio
Overall
7.0
Scoring
8.0
Defence
5.3
Mantova
Overall
7.0
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes13%
Home Win & BTTS No38%
Draw & BTTS Yes0%
Draw & BTTS No0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes13%
Away Win & BTTS No38%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.520%
Home Win & Under 2.530%
Draw & Over 2.50%
Draw & Under 2.50%
Away Win & Over 2.520%
Away Win & Under 2.530%
08Stake Calculator
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
27.07.19
CF
Lazio4
Mantova0
30.04.67
SA
Lazio1
Mantova0
24.12.66
SA
Mantova0
Lazio0
23.05.65
SA
Mantova1
Lazio3
03.01.65
SA
Lazio2
Mantova0
19.04.64
SA
Mantova0
Lazio0
01.12.63
SA
Lazio2
Mantova0
Recent Form
Lazio
09.08.26
CF
Frosinone1
Lazio2
W
05.08.26
CF
Lazio4
Ostiamare0
W
02.08.26
CF
Ascoli1
Lazio2
W
01.08.26
CF
Lazio6
Avellino3
W
26.07.26
CF
Lazio6
Flaminia0
W
23.05.26
SA
Lazio2
Pisa1
W
17.05.26
SA
AS Roma2
Lazio0
L
13.05.26
COP
Lazio0
Inter2
L
09.05.26
SA
Lazio0
Inter3
L
04.05.26
SA
Cremonese1
Lazio2
W
Mantova
09.08.26
CF
Frosinone1
Lazio2
W
05.08.26
CF
Lazio4
Ostiamare0
W
02.08.26
CF
Ascoli1
Lazio2
W
01.08.26
CF
Lazio6
Avellino3
W
26.07.26
CF
Lazio6
Flaminia0
W
23.05.26
SA
Lazio2
Pisa1
W
17.05.26
SA
AS Roma2
Lazio0
L
13.05.26
COP
Lazio0
Inter2
L
09.05.26
SA
Lazio0
Inter3
L
04.05.26
SA
Cremonese1
Lazio2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Coppa Italia fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadio Olimpico (Rome), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.32, a call we are confident in at roughly 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 8:15 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "1" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Coppa Italia predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result — see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Aug 2026, 6:41am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Lazio vs Mantova?
Our selection is 1 — Lazio to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Lazio's current form?
Lazio have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Mantova been performing recently?
Mantova have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Lazio lead with 5 wins versus Mantova's 0, with 2 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 14%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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