WON Tip WON Nigeria 2-1 Madagascar

Nigeria vs Madagascar - Prediction & Betting Tips

NNigeria 2-1 MadagascarM
5:00 pm .Godswill Akpabio International Stadium (Uyo)
Home
LDWWD
5W 4D 1L
^ Improving
Away
LDWWL
6W 1D 3L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionFriday, 25th September 2026
1
Backing Nigeria to win
Implied Prob
82.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-26.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Nigeria to win
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals85%Nigeria Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Nigeria vs Madagascar Competition: AFCON Qualifier Date: Friday, 25th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Nigeria to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 56% Model Correct Score: 2-0 Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Nigeria Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
2
Nigeria
0
Draws
1
Madagascar
3
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Nigeria won 2 of the last 3 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Nigeria
Metric
Madagascar
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.9
0.7
Goals Against / Game
1.6
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-4-1
W - D - L
6-1-3
Win Rate
50%
60%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
N0
0-0 5.6%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 10.6%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-0 9.9% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
1-0 10.5% model probability
2-1 9.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Nigeria
Overall
6.2^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
7.7^
Madagascar
Overall
6.3^
Scoring
6.3^
Defence
4.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes19%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes10%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes22%
Away Win & BTTS No22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.522%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.511%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.526%
Away Win & Under 2.518%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
30.06.19
ACN
Madagascar2
Nigeria0
04.09.11
ACN
Madagascar0
Nigeria2
05.09.10
ACN
Nigeria2
Madagascar0
Recent Form
Nigeria
10.06.26
FI
Portugal2
Nigeria1
L
03.06.26
FI
Poland2
Nigeria2
D
30.05.26
FI
Jamaica0
Nigeria3
W
26.05.26
FI
Nigeria2
Zimbabwe0
W
31.03.26
FI
Jordan2
Nigeria2
D
27.03.26
FI
Iran1
Nigeria2
W
17.01.26
ACN
Egypt0
Nigeria (2-4)0
14.01.26
ACN
Nigeria0
Morocco (2-4)0
10.01.26
ACN
Algeria0
Nigeria2
W
05.01.26
ACN
Nigeria4
Mozambique0
W
Madagascar
02.06.26
FI
Morocco4
Madagascar0
L
31.03.26
FI
Equatorial Guinea1
Madagascar1
D
28.03.26
FI
Kyrgyzstan2
Madagascar5
W
17.11.25
FI
Madagascar2
Equatorial Guinea0
W
12.10.25
WC
Mali4
Madagascar1
L
08.10.25
WC
Comoros1
Madagascar2
W
08.09.25
WC
Madagascar3
Chad1
W
04.09.25
WC
Madagascar2
Central Africa0
W
30.08.25
ANC
Madagascar2
Morocco3
L
26.08.25
ANC
Madagascar1
Sudan0
W
Nigeria (Home)
26.05.26
FI
Nigeria2
Zimbabwe0
W
14.01.26
ACN
Nigeria0
Morocco (2-4)0
05.01.26
ACN
Nigeria4
Mozambique0
W
27.12.25
ACN
Nigeria3
Tunisia2
W
23.12.25
ACN
Nigeria2
Tanzania1
W
16.11.25
WC
Nigeria1
D.R. Congo (3-4)1
13.11.25
WC
Nigeria4
Gabon1
W
14.10.25
WC
Nigeria4
Benin0
W
06.09.25
WC
Nigeria1
Rwanda0
W
19.08.25
ANC
Nigeria2
Congo0
W
Madagascar (Away)
02.06.26
FI
Morocco4
Madagascar0
L
31.03.26
FI
Equatorial Guinea1
Madagascar1
D
28.03.26
FI
Kyrgyzstan2
Madagascar5
W
12.10.25
WC
Mali4
Madagascar1
L
08.10.25
WC
Comoros1
Madagascar2
W
22.08.25
ANC
Kenya1
Madagascar (3-4)1
16.08.25
ANC
Burkina Faso1
Madagascar2
W
09.08.25
ANC
Tanzania2
Madagascar1
L
13.06.25
COP
Angola4
Madagascar1
L
08.06.25
FI
D.R. Congo3
Madagascar1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Godswill Akpabio International Stadium (Uyo), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.21, a call we are confident in at roughly 57%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 28 Sep 2026, 8:18am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Nigeria vs Madagascar?
Our selection is 1 - Nigeria to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 56%.
What is Nigeria's current form?
Nigeria have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Madagascar been performing recently?
Madagascar have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nigeria lead with 2 wins versus Madagascar's 1, with 0 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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