WON Tip WON Norway 3-2 Denmark

Norway vs Denmark - Prediction & Betting Tips

NNorway 3-2 DenmarkD
7:45 pm .Ullevaal Stadion (Oslo)
Home
LWWLW
5W 2D 3L
v Declining
Away
WDLWL
5W 4D 1L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 24th September 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob
90.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-9.9%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals80%Over 1.5 Goals85%BTTS - Yes70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Norway vs Denmark Competition: UEFA Nations League Date: Thursday, 24th September 2026 KO: 7:45 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.10 Confidence: 81% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS - Yes (70%)
02Head to Head
3
Norway
3
Draws
4
Denmark
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 80% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Norway
Metric
Denmark
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-2-3
W - D - L
5-4-1
Win Rate
50%
50%
3.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
N0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 2.4%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 7.9%
1-3 4.1%
1-4 1.6%
1-5 0.5%
N2
2-0 5.6%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.8%
2-3 3.5%
2-4 1.4%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.2%
3-1 5.0%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
N4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 10.1% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-1 8.7% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
1-2 7.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Norway
Overall
5.6v
Scoring
6.0v
Defence
5.0v
Denmark
Overall
6.2^
Scoring
8.0^
Defence
6.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes27%
Home Win & BTTS No11%
Draw & BTTS Yes16%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes27%
Away Win & BTTS No12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.58%
Draw & Over 2.518%
Draw & Under 2.55%
Away Win & Over 2.531%
Away Win & Under 2.58%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
08.06.24
FI
Denmark3
Norway1
15.11.13
FI
Denmark2
Norway1
15.01.12
KC
Denmark1
Norway1
06.09.11
EUR
Denmark2
Norway0
26.03.11
EUR
Norway1
Denmark1
07.06.03
EUR
Denmark1
Norway0
07.09.02
EUR
Norway2
Denmark2
06.03.02
FI
Denmark0
Norway1
22.04.98
FI
Denmark0
Norway2
01.06.94
FI
Norway2
Denmark1
Recent Form
Norway
11.07.26
WC
Norway1
England2
L
05.07.26
WC
Brazil1
Norway2
W
30.06.26
WC
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
W
26.06.26
WC
Norway1
France4
L
23.06.26
WC
Norway3
Senegal2
W
16.06.26
WC
Iraq1
Norway4
W
07.06.26
FI
Morocco1
Norway1
D
01.06.26
FI
Norway3
Sweden1
W
31.03.26
FI
Norway0
Switzerland0
D
27.03.26
FI
Netherlands2
Norway1
L
Denmark
07.06.26
FI
Denmark2
Ukraine1
W
03.06.26
FI
D.R. Congo0
Denmark0
D
31.03.26
WC
Czech Republic2
Denmark (3-1)2
26.03.26
WC
Denmark4
North Macedonia0
W
18.11.25
WC
Scotland4
Denmark2
L
15.11.25
WC
Denmark2
Belarus2
D
12.10.25
WC
Denmark3
Greece1
W
09.10.25
WC
Belarus0
Denmark6
W
08.09.25
WC
Greece0
Denmark3
W
05.09.25
WC
Denmark0
Scotland0
D
Norway (Home)
11.07.26
WC
Norway1
England2
L
26.06.26
WC
Norway1
France4
L
23.06.26
WC
Norway3
Senegal2
W
01.06.26
FI
Norway3
Sweden1
W
31.03.26
FI
Norway0
Switzerland0
D
13.11.25
WC
Norway4
Estonia1
W
14.10.25
FI
Norway1
New Zealand1
D
11.10.25
WC
Norway5
Israel0
W
09.09.25
WC
Norway11
Moldova1
W
04.09.25
FI
Norway1
Finland0
W
Denmark (Away)
03.06.26
FI
D.R. Congo0
Denmark0
D
31.03.26
WC
Czech Republic2
Denmark (3-1)2
18.11.25
WC
Scotland4
Denmark2
L
09.10.25
WC
Belarus0
Denmark6
W
08.09.25
WC
Greece0
Denmark3
W
23.03.25
UNL
Portugal5
Denmark2
L
18.11.24
UNL
Serbia0
Denmark0
D
15.10.24
UNL
Switzerland2
Denmark2
D
12.10.24
UNL
Spain1
Denmark0
L
29.06.24
EUR
Germany2
Denmark0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this UEFA Nations League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Ullevaal Stadion (Oslo), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 1.5 at @1.10, a call we are confident in at roughly 79%. The fixture starts at 7:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are UEFA Nations League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 25 Sep 2026, 9:19am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Norway vs Denmark?
Our selection is Over 1.5 - over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.10. Tip confidence rating: 81%.
What is Norway's current form?
Norway have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Denmark been performing recently?
Denmark have recorded 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Norway lead with 3 wins versus Denmark's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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