LOST Tip LOST Tunisia 1-1 Uganda

Tunisia vs Uganda - Prediction & Betting Tips

TTunisia 1-1 UgandaU
8:00 pm .Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)
Home
LLLLL
1W 3D 6L
v Declining
Away
LDLLW
4W 1D 5L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionThursday, 24th September 2026
1
Backing Tunisia to win
Implied Prob
73%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-22%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
4
Tunisia
0
Draws
0
Uganda
4
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Tunisia won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Tunisia
Metric
Uganda
0.7
Goals For / Game
1.3
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1.5
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
1-3-6
W - D - L
4-1-5
Win Rate
10%
40%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

U0
U1
U2
U3
U4
U5
T0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
T1
1-0 8.4%
1-1 10.4%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
T2
2-0 7.9%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 6.0%
2-3 2.4%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.2%
T3
3-0 4.9%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
T4
4-0 2.3%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.7% model probability
2-0 7.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 8.4% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Tunisia
Overall
1.9^
Scoring
2.3^
Defence
2.3^
Uganda
Overall
4.3^
Scoring
4.3^
Defence
5.0^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes7%
Home Win & BTTS No7%
Draw & BTTS Yes15%
Draw & BTTS No15%
Away Win & BTTS Yes29%
Away Win & BTTS No29%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.58%
Home Win & Under 2.56%
Draw & Over 2.516%
Draw & Under 2.513%
Away Win & Over 2.531%
Away Win & Under 2.526%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
23.12.25
ACN
Tunisia3
Uganda1
04.01.17
FI
Tunisia2
Uganda0
09.03.78
ACN
Tunisia3
Uganda1
20.01.62
ACN
Tunisia3
Uganda0
Recent Form
Tunisia
26.06.26
WC
Tunisia1
Netherlands3
L
21.06.26
WC
Tunisia0
Japan4
L
15.06.26
WC
Sweden5
Tunisia1
L
06.06.26
FI
Belgium5
Tunisia0
L
01.06.26
FI
Austria1
Tunisia0
L
01.04.26
FI
Canada0
Tunisia0
D
29.03.26
FI
Haiti0
Tunisia1
W
03.01.26
ACN
Mali1
Tunisia (3-2)1
30.12.25
ACN
Tanzania1
Tunisia1
D
27.12.25
ACN
Nigeria3
Tunisia2
Uganda
30.12.25
ACN
Uganda1
Nigeria3
L
27.12.25
ACN
Uganda1
Tanzania1
D
23.12.25
ACN
Tunisia3
Uganda1
L
18.11.25
FI
Morocco4
Uganda0
L
14.11.25
FI
Uganda2
Chad1
W
14.10.25
WC
Algeria2
Uganda1
L
09.10.25
WC
Botswana0
Uganda1
W
08.09.25
WC
Uganda2
Somalia0
W
05.09.25
WC
Uganda4
Mozambique0
W
23.08.25
ANC
Uganda0
Senegal1
L
Tunisia (Home)
26.06.26
WC
Tunisia1
Netherlands3
L
21.06.26
WC
Tunisia0
Japan4
L
23.12.25
ACN
Tunisia3
Uganda1
W
18.12.25
FI
Tunisia2
Botswana1
W
01.12.25
ARC
Tunisia0
Syria1
L
14.11.25
FI
Tunisia3
Jordan2
W
12.11.25
FI
Tunisia1
Mauritania1
D
13.10.25
WC
Tunisia3
Namibia0
W
04.09.25
WC
Tunisia3
Liberia0
W
02.06.25
FI
Tunisia2
Burkina Faso0
W
Uganda (Away)
23.12.25
ACN
Tunisia3
Uganda1
L
18.11.25
FI
Morocco4
Uganda0
L
14.10.25
WC
Algeria2
Uganda1
L
09.10.25
WC
Botswana0
Uganda1
W
18.08.25
ANC
South Africa3
Uganda3
D
08.08.25
ANC
Guinea0
Uganda3
W
24.07.25
FI
Senegal1
Uganda2
W
22.07.25
FI
Tanzania1
Uganda0
L
06.06.25
FI
Cameroon3
Uganda0
L
20.03.25
WC
Mozambique3
Uganda1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.37, a call we are confident in at roughly 51%. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 25 Sep 2026, 9:23am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Tunisia vs Uganda?
Our selection is 1 - Tunisia to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Tunisia's current form?
Tunisia have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Uganda been performing recently?
Uganda have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tunisia lead with 4 wins versus Uganda's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer