WON Tip WON Poland U21 3-0 Sweden U21

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 - Prediction & Betting Tips

PPoland U21 3-0 Sweden U21S
5:00 pm .Arena Katowice (Katowice)
Home
WWWWW
8W 0D 2L
v Declining
Away
LLDWW
3W 2D 5L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 30th September 2026
1X
Backing Poland U21 to win or draw
Implied Prob
86.2%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+5.8%
Value detected
Kelly %
42%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1X - Poland U21 to win or draw
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals85%BTTS - No65%Poland U21 Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 Competition: Euro U21 Qualifier Date: Wednesday, 30th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1X (Poland U21 to win or draw) Odds: 1.16 Confidence: 92% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS - No (65%) Also: Poland U21 Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
4
Poland U21
4
Draws
2
Sweden U21
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
03Stats Duel
Poland U21
Metric
Sweden U21
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.3
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-0-2
W - D - L
3-2-5
Win Rate
80%
30%
3.5
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
P0
0-0 4.2%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 8.7%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 5.1%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
P2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
P3
3-0 6.4%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 3.4%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 9.4% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-1 9.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 9.2% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Poland U21
Overall
8.0v
Scoring
8.0v
Defence
6.3v
Sweden U21
Overall
3.6v
Scoring
4.0v
Defence
2.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes23%
Home Win & BTTS No44%
Draw & BTTS Yes3%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes9%
Away Win & BTTS No16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.547%
Home Win & Under 2.520%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.58%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
14.10.25
EUR
Sweden U210
Poland U216
19.06.17
EUR
Poland U212
Sweden U212
08.09.15
FI
Poland U210
Sweden U210
12.10.13
EUR
Poland U212
Sweden U210
06.09.13
EUR
Sweden U213
Poland U211
05.06.09
FI
Sweden U212
Poland U211
09.09.03
EUR
Poland U211
Sweden U211
10.06.03
EUR
Sweden U211
Poland U211
07.10.99
EUR
Sweden U211
Poland U212
29.03.99
EUR
Poland U212
Sweden U210
Recent Form
Poland U21
31.03.26
EUR
Montenegro U210
Poland U211
W
27.03.26
EUR
Poland U214
Armenia U211
W
18.11.25
EUR
North Macedonia U210
Poland U211
W
14.11.25
EUR
Poland U212
Italy U211
W
14.10.25
EUR
Sweden U210
Poland U216
W
10.10.25
EUR
Poland U212
Montenegro U210
W
09.09.25
EUR
Armenia U210
Poland U214
W
05.09.25
EUR
Poland U213
North Macedonia U210
W
17.06.25
EUR
France U214
Poland U211
L
14.06.25
EUR
Portugal U215
Poland U210
L
Sweden U21
04.06.26
FI
Sweden U211
Finland U213
L
31.03.26
EUR
Sweden U210
Italy U214
L
27.03.26
EUR
Sweden U212
Montenegro U212
D
18.11.25
EUR
Armenia U210
Sweden U211
W
13.11.25
EUR
North Macedonia U211
Sweden U214
W
14.10.25
EUR
Sweden U210
Poland U216
L
10.10.25
EUR
Italy U214
Sweden U210
L
09.09.25
EUR
Montenegro U212
Sweden U210
L
05.09.25
EUR
Sweden U213
Armenia U210
W
10.06.25
FI
Croatia U211
Sweden U211
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Euro U21 Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Arena Katowice (Katowice), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1X at @1.16, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 92. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Euro U21 Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 1 Oct 2026, 8:40am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Poland U21 vs Sweden U21?
Our selection is 1X - Poland U21 to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.16. Tip confidence rating: 92%.
What is Poland U21's current form?
Poland U21 have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sweden U21 been performing recently?
Sweden U21 have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Poland U21 lead with 4 wins versus Sweden U21's 2, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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