LOST Tip LOST Portadown 1-1 Linfield

Portadown vs Linfield - Prediction & Betting Tips

PPortadown 1-1 LinfieldL
7:45 pm .Shamrock Park (Portadown)
Home
LLLLL
3W 0D 7L
^ Improving
Away
WWWWW
7W 1D 2L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 15th September 2026
2
Backing Linfield to win
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+0.7%
Value detected
Kelly %
2.8%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Linfield to win
1.31
BTTS - No70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Portadown vs Linfield Competition: NIFL Premiership Date: Tuesday, 15th September 2026 KO: 7:45 pm Pick: 2 (Linfield to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 77% Model Correct Score: 1-2 Also: BTTS - No (70%)
02Head to Head
1
Portadown
1
Draws
8
Linfield
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Linfield won 8 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Portadown
Metric
Linfield
2
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.7
Goals Against / Game
0.9
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-0-7
W - D - L
7-1-2
Win Rate
30%
70%
3.2
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
P0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 7.2%
0-2 8.0%
0-3 6.0%
0-4 3.4%
0-5 1.5%
P1
1-0 3.8%
1-1 8.6%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 7.2%
1-4 4.1%
1-5 1.8%
P2
2-0 2.3%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 5.8%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.1%
P3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 2.1%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.4%
P4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-2 9.7% model probability
0-2 8.0% model probability
1-3 7.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Portadown
Overall
3.0^
Scoring
6.7^
Defence
4.3^
Linfield
Overall
7.3v
Scoring
5.7v
Defence
7.0v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes9%
Home Win & BTTS No20%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes20%
Away Win & BTTS No46%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.515%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.53%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.533%
Away Win & Under 2.533%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
10.03.26
NIFL
Linfield3
Portadown1
17.10.25
NIFL
Portadown2
Linfield0
06.09.25
NIFL
Linfield3
Portadown0
18.01.25
NIFL
Portadown1
Linfield3
30.11.24
NIFL
Linfield2
Portadown1
30.08.24
NIFL
Portadown2
Linfield2
10.03.24
LC
Linfield3
Portadown1
28.01.23
NIFL
Portadown1
Linfield6
05.11.22
NIFL
Portadown0
Linfield3
14.08.22
NIFL
Linfield4
Portadown0
Recent Form
Portadown
12.09.26
NIFL
Portadown0
Larne2
L
05.09.26
NIFL
Cliftonville3
Portadown1
L
28.08.26
NIFL
Portadown0
Coleraine3
L
22.08.26
NIFL
Crusaders3
Portadown2
L
15.08.26
NIFL
Portadown0
Dungannon1
L
08.08.26
NIFL
Carrick Rangers1
Portadown0
L
28.07.26
CF
Mountjoy1
Portadown12
W
25.07.26
CF
Kilbarrack Utd0
Portadown3
W
21.07.26
CF
H&W Welders0
Portadown2
W
18.07.26
CF
Coleraine3
Portadown0
L
Linfield
12.09.26
NIFL
Dungannon0
Linfield1
W
05.09.26
NIFL
Linfield1
Carrick Rangers0
W
29.08.26
NIFL
Limavady0
Linfield2
W
21.08.26
NIFL
Linfield1
Cliftonville0
W
15.08.26
NIFL
Linfield2
Glentoran1
W
08.08.26
NIFL
Linfield0
Ballymena3
L
28.07.26
CF
Dollingstown1
Linfield7
W
24.07.26
CF
Limavady0
Linfield1
W
18.07.26
CF
Linfield0
Doncaster2
L
16.07.26
UECL
Linfield2
Kalju2
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this NIFL Premiership fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Shamrock Park (Portadown), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.31, a call we are confident in at roughly 21%. The fixture starts at 7:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are NIFL Premiership predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Sep 2026, 9:56am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Portadown vs Linfield?
Our selection is 2 - Linfield to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Portadown's current form?
Portadown have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Linfield been performing recently?
Linfield have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Portadown lead with 1 wins versus Linfield's 8, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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