LOST Tip LOST Super Nova 0-1 Riga

Super Nova vs Riga - Prediction & Betting Tips

SSuper Nova 0-1 RigaR
5:00 pm .Jana Skredela stadions (Riga)
Home
WWDDL
5W 2D 3L
^ Improving
Away
DDWLW
4W 5D 1L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionTuesday, 15th September 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
68%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+1%
Value detected
Kelly %
3%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals
1.47
BTTS - Yes70%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Super Nova vs Riga Competition: Latvia Virsliga Date: Tuesday, 15th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.47 Confidence: 69% Model Correct Score: 1-1 Also: BTTS - Yes (70%)
02Head to Head
0
Super Nova
1
Draws
9
Riga
10
Meetings
4.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Super Nova
Metric
Riga
1.1
Goals For / Game
2.2
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.5
40%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W - D - L
4-5-1
Win Rate
50%
40%
2.8
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
S0
0-0 4.0%
0-1 8.4%
0-2 8.8%
0-3 6.1%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.3%
S1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.5%
S2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.3%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 3.9%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.9%
S3
3-0 1.0%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
S4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-1 9.4% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-2 9.9% model probability
0-2 8.8% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Super Nova
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
3.7^
Defence
7.3^
Riga
Overall
5.5-
Scoring
7.3-
Defence
5.0-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes28%
Home Win & BTTS No12%
Draw & BTTS Yes20%
Draw & BTTS No8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes22%
Away Win & BTTS No10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.522%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.515%
Draw & Under 2.513%
Away Win & Over 2.518%
Away Win & Under 2.514%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
24.05.26
VIR
Riga FC3
Super Nova0
14.04.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Riga FC4
30.08.25
VIR
Super Nova2
Riga FC6
22.06.25
VIR
Riga FC2
Super Nova0
01.05.25
VIR
Super Nova1
Riga FC5
06.03.25
VIR
Riga FC2
Super Nova0
29.10.23
VIR
Riga FC1
Super Nova1
06.08.23
VIR
Super Nova1
Riga FC5
31.05.23
VIR
Riga FC5
Super Nova1
20.04.23
VIR
Super Nova0
Riga FC4
Recent Form
Super Nova
10.09.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Tukums 20000
W
05.09.26
VIR
Jelgava0
Super Nova1
W
29.08.26
VIR
Auda1
Super Nova1
D
22.08.26
VIR
Super Nova0
BFC Daugavpils0
D
16.08.26
LC
Super Nova0
RFS1
L
09.08.26
VIR
Super Nova1
FK Liepaja2
L
20.07.26
VIR
Super Nova2
Grobina0
W
11.07.26
LC
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
W
06.07.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Ogre United2
L
01.07.26
VIR
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
W
Riga
11.09.26
VIR
Riga FC2
Auda2
D
07.09.26
VIR
Riga FC1
BFC Daugavpils1
D
03.09.26
LC
RFS2
Riga FC3
W
31.08.26
VIR
FK Liepaja3
Riga FC2
L
27.08.26
UECL
Riga FC2
Klaksvik1
W
23.08.26
VIR
RFS3
Riga FC3
D
20.08.26
UECL
Klaksvik0
Riga FC0
D
16.08.26
LC
Riga FC4
Metta1
W
13.08.26
UECL
Gyor1
Riga FC1
D
09.08.26
VIR
Riga FC4
Ogre United1
W
Super Nova (Home)
10.09.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Tukums 20000
W
22.08.26
VIR
Super Nova0
BFC Daugavpils0
D
16.08.26
LC
Super Nova0
RFS1
L
09.08.26
VIR
Super Nova1
FK Liepaja2
L
20.07.26
VIR
Super Nova2
Grobina0
W
06.07.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Ogre United2
L
25.06.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Jelgava5
L
21.06.26
VIR
Super Nova0
Auda2
L
29.05.26
VIR
Super Nova1
RFS2
L
16.05.26
VIR
Super Nova3
Ogre United1
W
Riga (Away)
03.09.26
LC
RFS2
Riga FC3
W
31.08.26
VIR
FK Liepaja3
Riga FC2
L
23.08.26
VIR
RFS3
Riga FC3
D
20.08.26
UECL
Klaksvik0
Riga FC0
D
13.08.26
UECL
Gyor1
Riga FC1
D
22.07.26
UECL
Vardar2
Riga FC3
W
10.07.26
LC
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
W
07.07.26
CL
Ararat-Armenia2
Riga FC0
L
29.06.26
VIR
Auda0
Riga FC2
W
25.06.26
VIR
BFC Daugavpils0
Riga FC0
D
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Latvia Virsliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Jana Skredela stadions (Riga), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.47, a call we are confident in at roughly roughly 78. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Latvia Virsliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 16 Sep 2026, 9:56am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Super Nova vs Riga?
Our selection is Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.47. Tip confidence rating: 69%.
What is Super Nova's current form?
Super Nova have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Riga been performing recently?
Riga have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Super Nova lead with 0 wins versus Riga's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer