WON Tip WON Safa Baku 0-3 Sabah Baku

Safa Baku vs Sabah Baku - Prediction & Betting Tips

SSafa Baku 0-3 Sabah BakuS
4:00 pm .ASK Arena (Baku)
Home
LLWLL
2W 3D 5L
v Declining
Away
LWWWL
7W 0D 3L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 14th September 2026
2
Backing Sabah Baku to win
Implied Prob
87%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-12%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Sabah Baku to win
1.15
BTTS - No75%Sabah Baku Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Safa Baku vs Sabah Baku Competition: Azerbaijan Premier League Date: Monday, 14th September 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 2 (Sabah Baku to win) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 75% Model Correct Score: 0-1 Also: BTTS - No (75%) Also: Sabah Baku Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Safa Baku
Metric
Sabah Baku
0.4
Goals For / Game
2.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1
50%
Clean Sheets
60%
2-3-5
W - D - L
7-0-3
Win Rate
20%
70%
2.4
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 15.4%
0-2 13.1%
0-3 7.4%
0-4 3.2%
0-5 1.1%
S1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 9.2%
1-3 5.2%
1-4 2.2%
1-5 0.8%
S2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 3.8%
2-2 3.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.8%
2-5 0.3%
S3
3-0 0.5%
3-1 0.9%
3-2 0.8%
3-3 0.4%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.2%
4-2 0.1%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-1 15.4% model probability
0-2 13.1% model probability
1-2 9.2% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Safa Baku
Overall
2.9^
Scoring
1.3^
Defence
6.0^
Sabah Baku
Overall
7.0^
Scoring
7.3^
Defence
6.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes5%
Home Win & BTTS No14%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No50%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.59%
Home Win & Under 2.510%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.58%
Away Win & Over 2.530%
Away Win & Under 2.537%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Safa Baku
05.09.26
PL
Neftci Baku4
Safa Baku1
L
29.08.26
PL
Safa Baku0
Imisli FK1
L
22.08.26
PL
Gabala0
Safa Baku1
W
16.08.26
PL
Zira2
Safa Baku0
L
22.05.26
1L
Zaqatala2
Safa Baku1
L
15.05.26
1L
Safa Baku1
Gancabasar0
W
06.05.26
1L
Difai Agsu0
Safa Baku0
D
29.04.26
1L
Safa Baku0
Shimal0
D
22.04.26
1L
Safa Baku3
MOIK Baku0
W
16.04.26
1L
Baku Sporting0
Safa Baku0
D
Sabah Baku
10.09.26
CL
Manchester Utd4
Sabah Baku0
L
05.09.26
PL
Sabah Baku5
Zira0
W
31.08.26
PL
Araz0
Sabah Baku1
W
25.08.26
CL
Sabah Baku5
H. Beer Sheva2
W
19.08.26
CL
H. Beer Sheva2
Sabah Baku1
L
15.08.26
PL
Sabah Baku2
Kapaz0
W
11.08.26
CL
Sabah Baku4
Aarhus0
W
05.08.26
CL
Aarhus2
Sabah Baku1
L
28.07.26
CL
KuPS0
Sabah Baku2
W
21.07.26
CL
Sabah Baku1
KuPS0
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at ASK Arena (Baku), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.15, a call we are confident in at roughly 21%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Azerbaijan Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 15 Sep 2026, 11:21am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Safa Baku vs Sabah Baku?
Our selection is 2 - Sabah Baku to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Safa Baku's current form?
Safa Baku have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sabah Baku been performing recently?
Sabah Baku have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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