WON Tip WON Tartu Welco 3-0 Nomme Kalju U21

Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21 - Prediction & Betting Tips

TTartu Welco 3-0 Nomme Kalju U21N
5:00 pm .Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu)
Home
DDLWW
5W 2D 3L
v Declining
Away
LLWLL
1W 0D 9L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 14th September 2026
1
Backing Tartu Welco to win
Implied Prob
83.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-22.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Tartu Welco to win
1.20
Over 2.5 Goals70%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21 Competition: Estonia Esiliiga Date: Monday, 14th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Tartu Welco to win) Odds: 1.20 Confidence: 61% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
9
Tartu Welco
0
Draws
1
Nomme Kalju U21
10
Meetings
5.3
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Tartu Welco won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Tartu Welco
Metric
Nomme Kalju U21
3.4
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W - D - L
1-0-9
Win Rate
50%
10%
4.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
T0
0-0 1.2%
0-1 1.7%
0-2 1.2%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
T1
1-0 3.5%
1-1 5.1%
1-2 3.7%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
T2
2-0 5.3%
2-1 7.6%
2-2 5.5%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
T3
3-0 5.3%
3-1 7.6%
3-2 5.5%
3-3 2.7%
3-4 1.0%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 4.0%
4-1 5.7%
4-2 4.1%
4-3 2.0%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.2%
T5
5-0 2.4%
5-1 3.4%
5-2 2.5%
5-3 1.2%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 7.6% model probability
3-1 7.6% model probability
4-1 5.7% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Tartu Welco
Overall
5.6^
Scoring
10.0^
Defence
5.7^
Nomme Kalju U21
Overall
1.0v
Scoring
2.0v
Defence
0.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes36%
Home Win & BTTS No36%
Draw & BTTS Yes7%
Draw & BTTS No7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes8%
Away Win & BTTS No8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.550%
Home Win & Under 2.521%
Draw & Over 2.510%
Draw & Under 2.54%
Away Win & Over 2.511%
Away Win & Under 2.55%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
23.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U212
Tartu Welco4
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
Nomme Kalju U212
11.04.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U211
Tartu Welco5
23.10.25
ESI
Tartu Welco5
Nomme Kalju U212
19.07.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U210
Tartu Welco3
19.06.25
ESI
Tartu Welco0
Nomme Kalju U211
01.05.25
ESI
Nomme Kalju U210
Tartu Welco4
24.09.23
ESB
Nomme Kalju U213
Tartu Welco4
03.07.23
ESB
Tartu Welco4
Nomme Kalju U212
29.05.23
ESB
Tartu Welco5
Nomme Kalju U212
Recent Form
Tartu Welco
10.09.26
ESI
Levadia U210
Tartu Welco0
D
05.09.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev1
Tartu Welco1
D
29.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK3
L
23.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U212
Tartu Welco4
W
20.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
Levadia U212
W
15.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco2
Flora U211
W
12.08.26
CUP
Kose0
Tartu Welco8
W
08.08.26
ESI
Elva2
Tartu Welco1
L
01.08.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U212
Tartu Welco1
L
23.07.26
CUP
Rumori Calcio II0
Tartu Welco12
W
Nomme Kalju U21
10.09.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U211
Flora U215
L
06.09.26
ESI
Elva1
Nomme Kalju U210
L
29.08.26
ESI
FC Tallinn0
Nomme Kalju U212
W
23.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U212
Tartu Welco4
L
20.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U210
Tallinna Kalev3
L
17.08.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U212
Nomme Kalju U210
L
10.08.26
ESI
Flora U213
Nomme Kalju U210
L
01.08.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U211
Maardu4
L
25.07.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U210
Flora U215
L
18.07.26
ESI
Nomme Kalju U210
Levadia U212
L
Tartu Welco (Home)
29.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco1
Viimsi JK3
L
20.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
Levadia U212
W
15.08.26
ESI
Tartu Welco2
Flora U211
W
18.07.26
ESI
Tartu Welco0
FC Tallinn2
L
02.07.26
ESI
Tartu Welco2
Viimsi JK2
D
21.06.26
ESI
Tartu Welco5
Nomme Utd U212
W
13.06.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
FC Tallinn0
W
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
Nomme Kalju U212
W
17.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco3
Flora U213
D
27.04.26
ESI
Tartu Welco3
Elva3
D
Nomme Kalju U21 (Away)
06.09.26
ESI
Elva1
Nomme Kalju U210
L
29.08.26
ESI
FC Tallinn0
Nomme Kalju U212
W
17.08.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U212
Nomme Kalju U210
L
10.08.26
ESI
Flora U213
Nomme Kalju U210
L
11.07.26
ESI
Viimsi JK2
Nomme Kalju U212
D
21.06.26
ESI
Tallinna Kalev5
Nomme Kalju U211
L
18.06.26
ESI
Maardu2
Nomme Kalju U211
L
28.05.26
ESI
Tartu Welco4
Nomme Kalju U212
L
02.05.26
ESI
Elva2
Nomme Kalju U214
W
24.04.26
ESI
Nomme Utd U210
Nomme Kalju U213
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Estonia Esiliiga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Holm Jalgpallipark (Tartu), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.20, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 52. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Estonia Esiliiga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 15 Sep 2026, 11:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Tartu Welco vs Nomme Kalju U21?
Our selection is 1 - Tartu Welco to win, priced at approximately 1.20. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Tartu Welco's current form?
Tartu Welco have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nomme Kalju U21 been performing recently?
Nomme Kalju U21 have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tartu Welco lead with 9 wins versus Nomme Kalju U21's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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