Strong Signal
75%

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund - Prediction & Betting Tips

SStuttgart vs Borussia DortmundB
5:30 pm .- .MHPArena (Stuttgart)
Home
LWWLW
6W 1D 3L
- Steady
Away
WWWWW
7W 1D 2L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 19th September 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
70.9%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+4.1%
Value detected
Kelly %
14%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals
1.41
Over 2.5 Goals80%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 19th September 2026 KO: 5:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.41 Confidence: 75% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
5
Stuttgart
2
Draws
3
Borussia Dortmund
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Stuttgart
Metric
Borussia Dortmund
3.1
Goals For / Game
2.3
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.1
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W - D - L
7-1-2
Win Rate
60%
70%
4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
S0
0-0 2.3%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 2.3%
0-4 1.1%
0-5 0.4%
S1
1-0 4.4%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 7.4%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 2.1%
1-5 0.8%
S2
2-0 4.4%
2-1 8.0%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.4%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.7%
S3
3-0 2.9%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 4.8%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 1.3%
3-5 0.5%
S4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 2.3%
4-3 1.4%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.2%
S5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.6%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 8.0% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-1 8.1% model probability
1-2 7.4% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Stuttgart
Overall
6.3-
Scoring
10.0-
Defence
5.3-
Borussia Dortmund
Overall
7.3v
Scoring
7.7v
Defence
6.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes26%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes30%
Away Win & BTTS No20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.534%
Home Win & Under 2.59%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.51%
Away Win & Over 2.540%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
04.04.26
BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund2
22.11.25
BUN
Dortmund3
Stuttgart3
08.02.25
BUN
Dortmund1
Stuttgart2
22.09.24
BUN
Stuttgart5
Dortmund1
06.04.24
BUN
Dortmund0
Stuttgart1
06.12.23
POK
Stuttgart2
Dortmund0
11.11.23
BUN
Stuttgart2
Dortmund1
15.04.23
BUN
Stuttgart3
Dortmund3
22.10.22
BUN
Dortmund5
Stuttgart0
08.04.22
BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund2
Recent Form
Stuttgart
12.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Stuttgart1
L
09.09.26
CL
Stuttgart3
Viking1
W
04.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart4
FC Koln1
W
28.08.26
BUN
Bayern Munich5
Stuttgart1
L
21.08.26
POK
Hansa Rostock0
Stuttgart4
W
15.08.26
CF
Fulham1
Stuttgart0
L
08.08.26
CF
Stuttgart3
Everton1
W
01.08.26
CF
Stuttgart2
Paris FC2
D
29.07.26
CF
Offenbach1
Stuttgart8
W
25.07.26
CF
Hollenbach0
Stuttgart5
W
Borussia Dortmund
12.09.26
BUN
Dortmund3
Paderborn0
W
08.09.26
CL
Dortmund3
Villarreal2
W
05.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Dortmund3
W
01.09.26
POK
HEBC Hamburg0
Dortmund5
W
29.08.26
BUN
Dortmund2
Hamburger SV0
W
22.08.26
SC
Dortmund1
Bayern Munich2
L
15.08.26
CF
Dortmund2
AS Roma2
D
09.08.26
EMI
Arsenal2
Dortmund3
W
01.08.26
CF
FC Tokyo0
Dortmund1
W
29.07.26
CF
Cerezo Osaka1
Dortmund0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this German Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at MHPArena (Stuttgart), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.41, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 5:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are German Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 19 Sep 2026, 7:14am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our selection is Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.41. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Stuttgart's current form?
Stuttgart have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Borussia Dortmund been performing recently?
Borussia Dortmund have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Stuttgart lead with 5 wins versus Borussia Dortmund's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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