LOST Tip LOST Tunisia 2-2 Botswana

Tunisia vs Botswana - Prediction & Betting Tips

TTunisia 2-2 BotswanaB
8:00 pm .Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès)
Home
DLLLL
1W 4D 5L
^ Improving
Away
DWLLL
1W 2D 7L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 28th September 2026
1
Backing Tunisia to win
Implied Prob
77.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-38.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
5
Tunisia
2
Draws
2
Botswana
9
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
44%
BTTS
56%
Over 2.5
Neutral Tunisia won 5 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Tunisia
Metric
Botswana
0.6
Goals For / Game
0.6
2.1
Goals Against / Game
1.9
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
1-4-5
W - D - L
1-2-7
Win Rate
10%
10%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
T0
0-0 8.8%
0-1 9.2%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
T1
1-0 12.3%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 6.6%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
T2
2-0 8.5%
2-1 8.8%
2-2 4.6%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
T3
3-0 3.9%
3-1 4.1%
3-2 2.1%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
T4
4-0 1.4%
4-1 1.4%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
T5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 12.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 8.8% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 8.5% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Tunisia
Overall
2.2^
Scoring
2.0^
Defence
3.0^
Botswana
Overall
1.6v
Scoring
2.0v
Defence
3.7v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes8%
Home Win & BTTS No12%
Draw & BTTS Yes24%
Draw & BTTS No36%
Away Win & BTTS Yes8%
Away Win & BTTS No12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.510%
Home Win & Under 2.510%
Draw & Over 2.530%
Draw & Under 2.530%
Away Win & Over 2.510%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
18.12.25
FI
Tunisia2
Botswana1
07.09.23
ACN
Tunisia3
Botswana0
05.06.22
ACN
Botswana0
Tunisia0
14.11.14
ACN
Botswana0
Tunisia0
06.09.14
ACN
Tunisia2
Botswana1
17.11.10
ACN
Botswana1
Tunisia0
01.07.10
ACN
Tunisia0
Botswana1
04.06.05
WC
Botswana1
Tunisia3
05.06.04
WC
Tunisia4
Botswana1
Recent Form
Tunisia
24.09.26
ACN
Tunisia1
Uganda1
D
26.06.26
WC
Tunisia1
Netherlands3
L
21.06.26
WC
Tunisia0
Japan4
L
15.06.26
WC
Sweden5
Tunisia1
L
06.06.26
FI
Belgium5
Tunisia0
L
01.06.26
FI
Austria1
Tunisia0
L
01.04.26
FI
Canada0
Tunisia0
D
29.03.26
FI
Haiti0
Tunisia1
W
03.01.26
ACN
Mali1
Tunisia (3-2)1
30.12.25
ACN
Tanzania1
Tunisia1
D
Botswana
24.09.26
ACN
Libya2
Botswana2
D
31.03.26
FI
Botswana1
Malawi0
W
28.03.26
FI
Botswana0
Zimbabwe3
L
30.12.25
ACN
Botswana0
D.R. Congo3
L
27.12.25
ACN
Benin1
Botswana0
L
23.12.25
ACN
Senegal3
Botswana0
L
18.12.25
FI
Tunisia2
Botswana1
L
14.10.25
WC
Guinea2
Botswana2
D
09.10.25
WC
Botswana0
Uganda1
L
08.09.25
WC
Mozambique2
Botswana0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this AFCON Qualifier fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi (Radès), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.29, a call we are confident in at roughly 50. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are AFCON Qualifier predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 29 Sep 2026, 8:05am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Tunisia vs Botswana?
Our selection is 1 - Tunisia to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 39%.
What is Tunisia's current form?
Tunisia have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Botswana been performing recently?
Botswana have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Tunisia lead with 5 wins versus Botswana's 2, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 44%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
Bet Responsibly. 100SureTips provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org. 18+ only.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.
BeGambleAwareGamCareGamStopGamblingTherapyDisclaimer