Strong Signal
69%

Arsenal vs Everton - Prediction & Betting Tips

AArsenal vs EvertonE
3:00 pm .- .Emirates Stadium (London)
Home
DWWWL
8W 1D 1L
^ Improving
Away
LDWWD
4W 5D 1L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 24th October 2026
1
Backing Arsenal to win
Implied Prob
61%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+8%
Value detected
Kelly %
20.6%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
7
Arsenal
2
Draws
1
Everton
10
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Arsenal won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
03Stats Duel
Arsenal
Metric
Everton
1.8
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
0.8
50%
Clean Sheets
50%
8-1-1
W - D - L
4-5-1
Win Rate
80%
40%
2.5
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

E0
E1
E2
E3
E4
E5
A0
0-0 8.2%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 4.4%
0-3 1.5%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 12.1%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 8.9%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 4.5%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 0.8%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.9%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 12.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 8.9% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-1 9.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Arsenal
Overall
8.3^
Scoring
6.0^
Defence
7.0^
Everton
Overall
5.5-
Scoring
4.7-
Defence
7.3-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes21%
Home Win & BTTS No32%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes11%
Away Win & BTTS No16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.524%
Home Win & Under 2.529%
Draw & Over 2.59%
Draw & Under 2.511%
Away Win & Over 2.512%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
14.03.26
PL
Arsenal2
Everton0
20.12.25
PL
Everton0
Arsenal1
05.04.25
PL
Everton1
Arsenal1
14.12.24
PL
Arsenal0
Everton0
19.05.24
PL
Arsenal2
Everton1
17.09.23
PL
Everton0
Arsenal1
01.03.23
PL
Arsenal4
Everton0
04.02.23
PL
Everton1
Arsenal0
17.07.22
CF
Arsenal2
Everton0
22.05.22
PL
Arsenal5
Everton1
Recent Form
Arsenal
21.10.26
CL
Bayern Munich2
Arsenal2
D
18.10.26
PL
Nottingham0
Arsenal1
W
13.10.26
CL
Arsenal3
Lille0
W
10.10.26
PL
Arsenal2
Leeds1
W
19.09.26
PL
Brighton3
Arsenal0
L
15.09.26
EFL
Ipswich2
Arsenal4
W
12.09.26
PL
Sunderland0
Arsenal2
W
09.09.26
CL
Napoli0
Arsenal1
W
06.09.26
PL
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
W
31.08.26
PL
Aston Villa0
Arsenal1
W
Everton
17.10.26
PL
Everton0
Chelsea2
L
11.10.26
PL
Hull2
Everton2
D
19.09.26
PL
Everton1
Ipswich0
W
16.09.26
EFL
Everton1
Wolves0
W
12.09.26
PL
Tottenham0
Everton0
D
06.09.26
PL
Everton2
Manchester Utd2
D
29.08.26
PL
Bournemouth1
Everton1
D
26.08.26
EFL
Preston0
Everton4
W
22.08.26
PL
Everton2
Crystal Palace0
W
15.08.26
CF
Everton1
Lille1
D
Arsenal (Home)
13.10.26
CL
Arsenal3
Lille0
W
10.10.26
PL
Arsenal2
Leeds1
W
06.09.26
PL
Arsenal2
Chelsea1
W
21.08.26
PL
Arsenal3
Coventry0
W
16.08.26
CS
Arsenal3
Manchester City0
W
12.08.26
CF
Arsenal1
Como (4-3)1
09.08.26
EMI
Arsenal2
Dortmund3
L
05.08.26
CF
Arsenal1
Betis3
L
18.05.26
PL
Arsenal1
Burnley0
W
05.05.26
CL
Arsenal1
Atl. Madrid0
W
Everton (Away)
11.10.26
PL
Hull2
Everton2
D
12.09.26
PL
Tottenham0
Everton0
D
29.08.26
PL
Bournemouth1
Everton1
D
26.08.26
EFL
Preston0
Everton4
W
12.08.26
CF
Newcastle1
Everton3
W
08.08.26
CF
Stuttgart3
Everton1
L
01.08.26
CF
Hamburger SV1
Everton2
W
28.07.26
CF
Stoke1
Everton0
L
25.07.26
CF
Bolton0
Everton0
D
18.07.26
CF
Dundee FC0
Everton4
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this English Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Emirates Stadium (London), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.64, a call we are confident in at roughly 60. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are English Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 24 Oct 2026, 6:54am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Arsenal vs Everton?
Our selection is 1 - Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.64. Tip confidence rating: 69%.
What is Arsenal's current form?
Arsenal have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Everton been performing recently?
Everton have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Arsenal lead with 7 wins versus Everton's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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