WON Tip WON Auda 1-0 Ogre United

Auda vs Ogre United - Prediction & Betting Tips

AAuda 1-0 Ogre UnitedO
5:00 pm .Skonto stadions (Riga
Home
DWWDW
6W 3D 1L
v Declining
Away
DLLLL
2W 2D 6L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 16th September 2026
1
Backing Auda to win
Implied Prob
76.3%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-17.3%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Auda to win
1.31
Over 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Auda vs Ogre United Competition: Latvia Virsliga Date: Wednesday, 16th September 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Auda to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 59% Model Correct Score: 2-0 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
02Head to Head
1
Auda
1
Draws
0
Ogre United
2
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Auda won 1 of the last 2 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Auda
Metric
Ogre United
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.5
1.1
Goals Against / Game
2.6
50%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W - D - L
2-2-6
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

O0
O1
O2
O3
O4
O5
A0
0-0 5.6%
0-1 5.3%
0-2 2.5%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 10.9%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 4.8%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
A4
4-0 3.3%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-0 10.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-0 10.9% model probability
2-1 9.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Auda
Overall
6.9^
Scoring
5.0^
Defence
6.3^
Ogre United
Overall
2.6^
Scoring
5.0^
Defence
1.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes34%
Home Win & BTTS No23%
Draw & BTTS Yes14%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes11%
Away Win & BTTS No8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.543%
Home Win & Under 2.514%
Draw & Over 2.518%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.514%
Away Win & Under 2.55%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
30.05.26
VIR
Auda2
Ogre United0
17.04.26
VIR
Ogre United1
Auda1
Recent Form
Auda
11.09.26
VIR
Riga FC2
Auda2
D
06.09.26
VIR
Auda1
Grobina0
W
02.09.26
LC
BFC Daugavpils2
Auda (0-3)2
29.08.26
VIR
Auda1
Super Nova1
D
25.08.26
VIR
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
W
21.08.26
VIR
Auda3
Tukums 20000
W
17.08.26
LC
Auda3
Grobina2
W
13.08.26
UECL
Dinamo City4
Auda0
L
09.08.26
VIR
Jelgava0
Auda1
W
04.08.26
UECL
Auda1
Dinamo City0
W
Ogre United
11.09.26
VIR
Ogre United2
FK Liepaja2
D
05.09.26
VIR
Tukums 20002
Ogre United1
L
30.08.26
VIR
Ogre United0
RFS3
L
22.08.26
VIR
Ogre United2
Jelgava3
L
14.08.26
LC
BFC Daugavpils3
Ogre United1
L
09.08.26
VIR
Riga FC4
Ogre United1
L
27.07.26
VIR
Grobina2
Ogre United2
D
19.07.26
VIR
Ogre United0
BFC Daugavpils4
L
12.07.26
LC
Valmiera2
Ogre United4
W
06.07.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Ogre United2
Auda (Home)
06.09.26
VIR
Auda1
Grobina0
W
29.08.26
VIR
Auda1
Super Nova1
D
25.08.26
VIR
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
W
21.08.26
VIR
Auda3
Tukums 20000
W
17.08.26
LC
Auda3
Grobina2
W
04.08.26
UECL
Auda1
Dinamo City0
W
30.07.26
UECL
Auda4
FCSB1
W
26.07.26
VIR
Auda1
BFC Daugavpils0
W
11.07.26
LC
Auda1
FK Liepaja0
W
29.06.26
VIR
Auda0
Riga FC2
L
Ogre United (Away)
05.09.26
VIR
Tukums 20002
Ogre United1
L
14.08.26
LC
BFC Daugavpils3
Ogre United1
L
09.08.26
VIR
Riga FC4
Ogre United1
L
27.07.26
VIR
Grobina2
Ogre United2
D
12.07.26
LC
Valmiera2
Ogre United4
W
06.07.26
VIR
Super Nova1
Ogre United2
W
30.06.26
VIR
FK Liepaja4
Ogre United0
L
22.06.26
VIR
RFS6
Ogre United0
L
17.06.26
VIR
Jelgava0
Ogre United2
W
30.05.26
VIR
Auda2
Ogre United0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Latvia Virsliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Skonto stadions (Riga, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.31, a call we are confident in at roughly 62%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Latvia Virsliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 17 Sep 2026, 8:44am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Auda vs Ogre United?
Our selection is 1 - Auda to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Auda's current form?
Auda have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ogre United been performing recently?
Ogre United have recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Auda lead with 1 wins versus Ogre United's 0, with 1 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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