WON Tip WON Bayern Leverkusen 2-0 Celje

Bayern Leverkusen vs Celje - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBayern Leverkusen 2-0 CeljeC
8:00 pm .BayArena (Leverkusen)
Home
DWLWW
7W 1D 2L
^ Improving
Away
LLWLL
4W 1D 5L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 16th September 2026
1
Backing Bayern Leverkusen to win
Implied Prob
87.7%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-21.7%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Bayern Leverkusen to win
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals90%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Bayern Leverkusen vs Celje Competition: Europa League Date: Wednesday, 16th September 2026 KO: 8:00 pm Pick: 1 (Bayern Leverkusen to win) Odds: 1.14 Confidence: 66% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
02Head to Head
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
03Stats Duel
Bayern Leverkusen
Metric
Celje
2.7
Goals For / Game
1.3
1
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W - D - L
4-1-5
Win Rate
70%
40%
3.2
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
B0
0-0 4.3%
0-1 4.9%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 5.7%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
B2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
B3
3-0 5.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.8%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 2.9%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.9%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
B5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.9% model probability
1-0 8.6% model probability
2-0 8.6% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Bayern Leverkusen
Overall
7.3^
Scoring
9.0^
Defence
6.7^
Celje
Overall
4.3^
Scoring
4.3^
Defence
5.7^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes35%
Home Win & BTTS No23%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes20%
Away Win & BTTS No14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.544%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.526%
Away Win & Under 2.59%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Bayern Leverkusen
12.09.26
BUN
Augsburg2
Bayer Leverkusen2
D
05.09.26
BUN
Bayer Leverkusen4
Union Berlin0
W
29.08.26
BUN
Elversberg3
Bayer Leverkusen2
L
22.08.26
POK
Wehen0
Bayer Leverkusen4
W
15.08.26
CF
Newcastle1
Bayer Leverkusen2
W
12.08.26
CF
Nottingham2
Bayer Leverkusen1
L
08.08.26
CF
Bayer Leverkusen2
Sevilla1
W
01.08.26
CF
Bayer Leverkusen3
RW Essen0
W
29.07.26
CF
Bayer Leverkusen4
Genk0
W
25.07.26
CF
Offenbach1
Bayer Leverkusen3
W
Celje
12.09.26
PL
Bravo2
Celje1
L
06.09.26
PL
Celje0
Koper1
L
02.09.26
PL
Aluminij0
Celje2
W
30.08.26
PL
Grosuplje4
Celje1
L
26.08.26
CL
Celje1
Slovan Bratislava2
L
19.08.26
CL
Slovan Bratislava1
Celje1
D
15.08.26
PL
Nafta1
Celje3
W
11.08.26
CL
Celje2
Ararat-Armenia0
W
08.08.26
PL
Celje1
O. Ljubljana0
W
04.08.26
CL
Ararat-Armenia2
Celje1
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Europa League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at BayArena (Leverkusen), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.14, a call we are confident in at roughly close to 63. The fixture starts at 8:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Europa League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 17 Sep 2026, 8:29am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Bayern Leverkusen vs Celje?
Our selection is 1 - Bayern Leverkusen to win, priced at approximately 1.14. Tip confidence rating: 66%.
What is Bayern Leverkusen's current form?
Bayern Leverkusen have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Celje been performing recently?
Celje have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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