WON Tip WON Spartak Moscow 1-0 Fakel Voronezh

Spartak Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh - Prediction & Betting Tips

SSpartak Moscow 1-0 Fakel VoronezhF
4:30 pm .Lukoil Arena (Moscow)
Home
WLWDW
5W 2D 3L
- Steady
Away
DLLLD
0W 4D 6L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionWednesday, 16th September 2026
1
Backing Spartak Moscow to win
Implied Prob
73%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-19%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
7
Spartak Moscow
1
Draws
2
Fakel Voronezh
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Spartak Moscow won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
Spartak Moscow
Metric
Fakel Voronezh
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.4
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-2-3
W - D - L
0-4-6
Win Rate
50%
0%
2.6
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
S0
0-0 5.6%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.1%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 10.3%
1-1 10.8%
1-2 5.6%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
S3
3-0 5.8%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
S4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 10.3% model probability
2-0 9.4% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 9.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Spartak Moscow
Overall
5.6-
Scoring
6.3-
Defence
6.0-
Fakel Voronezh
Overall
1.2-
Scoring
2.3-
Defence
5.3-
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes41%
Home Win & BTTS No22%
Draw & BTTS Yes25%
Draw & BTTS No13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes-1%
Away Win & BTTS No-0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.535%
Home Win & Under 2.528%
Draw & Over 2.521%
Draw & Under 2.517%
Away Win & Over 2.5-1%
Away Win & Under 2.5-0%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
04.05.25
PL
Fakel Voronezh0
Spartak Moscow0
18.08.24
PL
Spartak Moscow3
Fakel Voronezh0
10.03.24
PL
Spartak Moscow0
Fakel Voronezh2
28.10.23
PL
Fakel Voronezh2
Spartak Moscow0
11.03.23
PL
Spartak Moscow3
Fakel Voronezh2
19.10.22
CUP
Fakel Voronezh1
Spartak Moscow2
15.09.22
CUP
Spartak Moscow3
Fakel Voronezh0
27.08.22
PL
Fakel Voronezh1
Spartak Moscow4
17.08.01
PL
Fakel Voronezh0
Spartak Moscow5
04.05.01
PL
Spartak Moscow3
Fakel Voronezh0
Recent Form
Spartak Moscow
13.09.26
PL
Spartak Moscow3
FK Rostov0
W
06.09.26
PL
Dynamo Moscow2
Spartak Moscow1
L
02.09.26
CUP
Spartak Moscow3
Rodina Moscow1
W
30.08.26
PL
Spartak Moscow1
Orenburg1
D
23.08.26
PL
Spartak Moscow2
Zenit0
W
19.08.26
CUP
Rubin Kazan1
Spartak Moscow (5-3)1
16.08.26
PL
Baltika1
Spartak Moscow2
W
09.08.26
PL
Spartak Moscow1
Krasnodar2
L
05.08.26
CUP
Spartak Moscow5
Orenburg1
W
02.08.26
PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Spartak Moscow2
W
Fakel Voronezh
12.09.26
PL
Fakel Voronezh2
Baltika2
D
05.09.26
PL
FK Rostov3
Fakel Voronezh1
L
01.09.26
CUP
Fakel Voronezh1
Krasnodar (3-4)1
29.08.26
PL
Fakel Voronezh0
Zenit1
L
22.08.26
PL
Fakel Voronezh0
Orenburg0
D
18.08.26
CUP
Akhmat Grozny2
Fakel Voronezh1
L
15.08.26
PL
CSKA Moscow1
Fakel Voronezh0
L
10.08.26
PL
Fakel Voronezh0
Akhmat Grozny0
D
05.08.26
CUP
Fakel Voronezh0
Dynamo Moscow1
L
02.08.26
PL
Krasnodar3
Fakel Voronezh2
L
Spartak Moscow (Home)
13.09.26
PL
Spartak Moscow3
FK Rostov0
W
02.09.26
CUP
Spartak Moscow3
Rodina Moscow1
W
30.08.26
PL
Spartak Moscow1
Orenburg1
D
23.08.26
PL
Spartak Moscow2
Zenit0
W
09.08.26
PL
Spartak Moscow1
Krasnodar2
L
05.08.26
CUP
Spartak Moscow5
Orenburg1
W
25.07.26
PL
Spartak Moscow3
Rodina Moscow0
W
08.07.26
CF
Spartak Moscow0
Rubin Kazan0
D
04.07.26
CF
Spartak Moscow3
Krylya Sovetov2
W
02.07.26
CF
Spartak Moscow1
S. Kostroma0
W
Fakel Voronezh (Away)
05.09.26
PL
FK Rostov3
Fakel Voronezh1
L
18.08.26
CUP
Akhmat Grozny2
Fakel Voronezh1
L
15.08.26
PL
CSKA Moscow1
Fakel Voronezh0
L
02.08.26
PL
Krasnodar3
Fakel Voronezh2
L
15.07.26
CF
FK Rostov2
Fakel Voronezh1
L
11.07.26
CF
Akron Togliatti1
Fakel Voronezh1
D
16.05.26
FNL
Ulyanovsk0
Fakel Voronezh3
W
27.04.26
FNL
Torpedo Moscow2
Fakel Voronezh2
D
18.04.26
FNL
FK Chayka2
Fakel Voronezh0
L
05.04.26
FNL
Arsenal Tula1
Fakel Voronezh2
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Russia Premier League fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Lukoil Arena (Moscow), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.37, a call we are confident in at roughly 48%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Russia Premier League predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 17 Sep 2026, 8:34am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Spartak Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh?
Our selection is 1 - Spartak Moscow to win, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Spartak Moscow's current form?
Spartak Moscow have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Fakel Voronezh been performing recently?
Fakel Voronezh have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Spartak Moscow lead with 7 wins versus Fakel Voronezh's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
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