Moderate Signal
51%

Belford Roxo vs Barra Mansa - Prediction & Betting Tips

BBelford Roxo vs Barra MansaB
7:00 pm .- .N/A
Home
DDWWD
3W 5D 2L
^ Improving
Away
LLDLW
1W 4D 5L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 26th October 2026
1
Backing Belford Roxo to win
Implied Prob
69.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-18.4%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
02Head to Head
1
Belford Roxo
0
Draws
0
Barra Mansa
1
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Belford Roxo won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
03Stats Duel
Belford Roxo
Metric
Barra Mansa
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-5-2
W - D - L
1-4-5
Win Rate
30%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
B0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 6.9%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
B1
1-0 9.5%
1-1 11.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 0.8%
1-5 0.2%
B2
2-0 7.9%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
B3
3-0 4.3%
3-1 5.2%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
B4
4-0 1.8%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
B5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 9.5% model probability
2-1 9.5% model probability
2-0 7.9% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Belford Roxo
Overall
4.5v
Scoring
6.3v
Defence
4.0v
Barra Mansa
Overall
2.2v
Scoring
2.0v
Defence
5.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes16%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes24%
Draw & BTTS No29%
Away Win & BTTS Yes5%
Away Win & BTTS No7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.518%
Home Win & Under 2.518%
Draw & Over 2.527%
Draw & Under 2.527%
Away Win & Over 2.56%
Away Win & Under 2.56%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
28.09.25
CAR2
Belford Roxo4
Barra Mansa1
Recent Form
Belford Roxo
18.10.26
CAR2
Paduano EC3
Belford Roxo3
D
11.10.26
CAR2
Belford Roxo1
Serra Macaense1
D
06.10.26
CAR2
7 de Abril0
Belford Roxo2
W
01.10.26
CAR2
Belford Roxo3
Santa Cruz RJ0
W
27.09.26
CAR2
Friburguense2
Belford Roxo2
D
20.09.26
CAR2
Belford Roxo1
Cardoso Moreira2
L
13.09.26
CAR2
Campos AA2
Belford Roxo2
D
06.09.26
CAR2
Belford Roxo0
FC Rio de Janeiro0
D
30.08.26
CAR2
Paraty0
Belford Roxo4
W
23.06.26
CR
Resende8
Belford Roxo1
L
Barra Mansa
18.10.26
CAR2
Barra Mansa0
Serra Macaense1
L
12.10.26
CAR2
Santa Cruz RJ1
Barra Mansa0
L
05.10.26
CAR2
Barra Mansa0
Cardoso Moreira0
D
01.10.26
CAR2
FC Rio de Janeiro2
Barra Mansa0
L
28.09.26
CAR2
Barra Mansa1
Buzios0
W
20.09.26
CAR2
Paduano EC2
Barra Mansa2
D
14.09.26
CAR2
Barra Mansa1
7 de Abril4
L
06.09.26
CAR2
Friburguense0
Barra Mansa0
D
31.08.26
CAR2
Barra Mansa2
Campos AA2
D
23.07.26
CARC
Barra Mansa0
Buzios2
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Brazil Carioca B2 fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at N/A, that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.44, a call we are confident in at roughly roughly 48. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Brazil Carioca B2 predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 26 Oct 2026, 7:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Belford Roxo vs Barra Mansa?
Our selection is 1 - Belford Roxo to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Belford Roxo's current form?
Belford Roxo have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Barra Mansa been performing recently?
Barra Mansa have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Belford Roxo lead with 1 wins versus Barra Mansa's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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