Moderate Signal
61%

PSG vs Lyon - Prediction & Betting Tips

PPSG vs LyonL
8:30 pm .- .Parc des Princes (Paris)
Home
WWWWW
7W 2D 1L
v Declining
Away
LWWLW
5W 2D 3L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 26th October 2026
1
Backing PSG to win
Implied Prob
68.5%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-7.5%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - PSG to win
1.46
Over 2.5 Goals85%Over 1.5 Goals90%BTTS - Yes80%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
PSG vs Lyon Competition: France Ligue 1 Date: Monday, 26th October 2026 KO: 8:30 pm Pick: 1 (PSG to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 61% Model Correct Score: 2-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS - Yes (80%)
02Head to Head
7
PSG
1
Draws
2
Lyon
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip PSG won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
03Stats Duel
PSG
Metric
Lyon
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.3
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W - D - L
5-2-3
Win Rate
70%
50%
3.6
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

L0
L1
L2
L3
L4
L5
P0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 4.2%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
P1
1-0 6.3%
1-1 8.8%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
P2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
P3
3-0 4.7%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 4.6%
3-3 2.1%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
P4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 2.4%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.0%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
2-1 9.3% model probability
3-1 6.6% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-0 6.7% model probability
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
PSG
Overall
7.6v
Scoring
9.3v
Defence
5.3v
Lyon
Overall
5.6v
Scoring
5.7v
Defence
5.7v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes40%
Home Win & BTTS No10%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes29%
Away Win & BTTS No7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.543%
Home Win & Under 2.58%
Draw & Over 2.512%
Draw & Under 2.52%
Away Win & Over 2.531%
Away Win & Under 2.55%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
19.04.26
L1
PSG1
Lyon2
09.11.25
L1
Lyon2
PSG3
23.02.25
L1
Lyon2
PSG3
15.12.24
L1
PSG3
Lyon1
25.05.24
CDF
Lyon1
PSG2
21.04.24
L1
PSG4
Lyon1
03.09.23
L1
Lyon1
PSG4
02.04.23
L1
PSG0
Lyon1
18.09.22
L1
Lyon0
PSG1
09.01.22
L1
Lyon1
PSG1
Recent Form
PSG
20.10.26
CL
PSG4
Barcelona2
W
17.10.26
L1
Strasbourg1
PSG3
W
14.10.26
CL
Manchester City2
PSG4
W
10.10.26
L1
PSG3
Le Mans1
W
20.09.26
L1
Marseille1
PSG2
W
13.09.26
L1
Brest0
PSG1
W
09.09.26
CL
PSG6
Slovan Bratislava1
W
04.09.26
L1
PSG1
Monaco2
L
28.08.26
L1
Lille2
PSG2
D
23.08.26
L1
Rennes2
PSG2
D
Lyon
22.10.26
EL
Hoffenheim3
Lyon0
L
18.10.26
L1
Lyon2
Nice1
W
15.10.26
EL
Lyon3
Crystal Palace2
W
09.10.26
L1
Lens2
Lyon1
L
19.09.26
L1
Lyon4
Rennes0
W
16.09.26
EL
Anderlecht1
Lyon2
W
12.09.26
L1
Paris FC0
Lyon0
D
04.09.26
L1
Lyon3
Auxerre1
W
29.08.26
L1
Lyon1
Le Havre1
D
26.08.26
CL
Lyon1
Fenerbahce2
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this France Ligue 1 fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 5 wins from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Parc des Princes (Paris), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.46, a call we are confident in at roughly around 5 in 10. The fixture starts at 8:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are France Ligue 1 predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 26 Oct 2026, 7:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for PSG vs Lyon?
Our selection is 1 - PSG to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is PSG's current form?
PSG have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Lyon been performing recently?
Lyon have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSG lead with 7 wins versus Lyon's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 2-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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