Strong Signal
86%

Santa Clara vs Benfica - Prediction & Betting Tips

SSanta Clara vs BenficaB
7:45 pm .- .Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada)
Home
LWDWW
6W 3D 1L
- Steady
Away
WWWLW
9W 0D 1L
- Steady
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 26th October 2026
2
Backing Benfica to win
Implied Prob
71.4%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+14.6%
Value detected
Kelly %
51%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
2 - Benfica to win
1.40
Over 2.5 Goals65%Over 1.5 Goals80%Santa Clara Clean Sheet60%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Santa Clara vs Benfica Competition: Liga Portugal Date: Monday, 26th October 2026 KO: 7:45 pm Pick: 2 (Benfica to win) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 86% Model Correct Score: 0-1 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: Santa Clara Clean Sheet (60%)
02Head to Head
0
Santa Clara
1
Draws
9
Benfica
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Benfica won 9 of 10 meetings.
03Stats Duel
Santa Clara
Metric
Benfica
1.7
Goals For / Game
2.8
0.7
Goals Against / Game
0.8
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-3-1
W - D - L
9-0-1
Win Rate
60%
90%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
S0
0-0 4.8%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 10.9%
0-3 7.7%
0-4 4.1%
0-5 1.8%
S1
1-0 4.3%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 7.0%
1-4 3.8%
1-5 1.6%
S2
2-0 2.0%
2-1 4.2%
2-2 4.5%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.7%
2-5 0.7%
S3
3-0 0.6%
3-1 1.3%
3-2 1.4%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.3%
4-2 0.3%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
0-1 10.2% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
0-2 10.9% model probability
1-2 9.9% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Santa Clara
Overall
6.9-
Scoring
5.7-
Defence
7.7-
Benfica
Overall
9.0^
Scoring
9.3^
Defence
7.3^
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes18%
Home Win & BTTS No18%
Draw & BTTS Yes5%
Draw & BTTS No5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes28%
Away Win & BTTS No28%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.523%
Home Win & Under 2.513%
Draw & Over 2.56%
Draw & Under 2.53%
Away Win & Over 2.536%
Away Win & Under 2.519%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
13.02.26
LP
Santa Clara1
Benfica2
12.09.25
LP
Benfica1
Santa Clara1
15.02.25
LP
Santa Clara0
Benfica1
30.10.24
CUP
Benfica3
Santa Clara0
14.09.24
LP
Benfica4
Santa Clara1
27.05.23
LP
Benfica3
Santa Clara0
21.01.23
LP
Santa Clara0
Benfica3
12.02.22
LP
Benfica2
Santa Clara1
11.09.21
LP
Santa Clara0
Benfica5
26.04.21
LP
Benfica2
Santa Clara1
Recent Form
Santa Clara
18.10.26
TP
Mafra3
Santa Clara2
L
10.10.26
LP
Casa Pia0
Santa Clara1
W
20.09.26
LP
Santa Clara0
Braga0
D
13.09.26
LP
Arouca1
Santa Clara2
W
06.09.26
LP
Santa Clara4
Rio Ave0
W
29.08.26
LP
Alverca1
Santa Clara1
D
23.08.26
LP
Santa Clara1
Famalicao0
W
15.08.26
LP
Academico Viseu0
Santa Clara1
W
10.08.26
LP
Santa Clara2
Nacional2
D
25.07.26
CF
Santa Clara3
Arouca0
W
Benfica
22.10.26
EL
Omonia1
Benfica4
W
15.10.26
EL
Benfica4
Celtic1
W
11.10.26
LP
Benfica2
Vitoria Guimaraes0
W
20.09.26
LP
FC Porto3
Benfica1
L
16.09.26
EL
AC Milan0
Benfica2
W
13.09.26
LP
Benfica3
Gil Vicente1
W
09.09.26
LP
Moreirense0
Benfica4
W
05.09.26
LP
Maritimo0
Benfica3
W
31.08.26
LP
Benfica2
Estoril1
W
27.08.26
EL
Aarhus1
Benfica3
W
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Liga Portugal fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 2 at @1.40, a call we are confident in at roughly 20%. The fixture starts at 7:45 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Liga Portugal predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 26 Oct 2026, 7:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Santa Clara vs Benfica?
Our selection is 2 - Benfica to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 86%.
What is Santa Clara's current form?
Santa Clara have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Benfica been performing recently?
Benfica have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Santa Clara lead with 0 wins versus Benfica's 9, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 0-1 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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