WON Tip WON Como 2-1 Parma

Como vs Parma - Prediction & Betting Tips

CComo 2-1 ParmaP
5:30 pm .Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como)
Home
WWWDL
5W 4D 1L
^ Improving
Away
DLLLW
1W 5D 4L
v Declining
100SureTips SelectionMonday, 14th September 2026
1
Backing Como to win
Implied Prob
74.6%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
-25.6%
Overpriced
Kelly %
0%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
1 - Como to win
1.34
Under 2.5 Goals75%Over 1.5 Goals85%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Como vs Parma Competition: Italian Serie A Date: Monday, 14th September 2026 KO: 5:30 pm Pick: 1 (Como to win) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 49% Model Correct Score: 1-0 Also: Under 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
02Head to Head
3
Como
4
Draws
3
Parma
10
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Como won 3 of the last 10 meetings (4 draws).
03Stats Duel
Como
Metric
Parma
1.9
Goals For / Game
0.6
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.1
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
5-4-1
W - D - L
1-5-4
Win Rate
50%
10%
2.4
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
C0
0-0 10.7%
0-1 9.8%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
C1
1-0 14.1%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
C2
2-0 9.3%
2-1 8.5%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.2%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
C3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 3.8%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
C4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.2%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
C5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-0 14.1% model probability . seen x2 in H2H
2-0 9.3% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
2-1 8.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Como
Overall
6.2v
Scoring
6.3v
Defence
6.3v
Parma
Overall
2.5v
Scoring
2.0v
Defence
6.3v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes29%
Home Win & BTTS No19%
Draw & BTTS Yes26%
Draw & BTTS No17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes5%
Away Win & BTTS No4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.512%
Home Win & Under 2.536%
Draw & Over 2.511%
Draw & Under 2.532%
Away Win & Over 2.52%
Away Win & Under 2.57%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
17.05.26
SA
Como1
Parma0
25.10.25
SA
Parma0
Como0
03.05.25
SA
Parma0
Como1
19.10.24
SA
Como1
Parma1
24.02.24
SB
Como1
Parma1
20.10.23
SB
Parma2
Como1
18.03.23
SB
Como2
Parma0
29.10.22
SB
Parma1
Como0
06.04.22
SB
Parma4
Como3
28.11.21
SB
Como1
Parma1
Recent Form
Como
10.09.26
CL
Como4
RB Leipzig1
W
04.09.26
SA
Genoa1
Como4
W
30.08.26
SA
Napoli1
Como2
W
22.08.26
SA
Udinese1
Como1
D
16.08.26
CF
Liverpool2
Como0
L
16.08.26
CF
Liverpool0
Como0
D
12.08.26
CF
Arsenal1
Como (4-3)1
31.07.26
COM
Famalicao2
Como3
W
29.07.26
COM
Villarreal1
Como (3-1)1
29.07.26
COM
Como3
Al-Ula1
W
Parma
06.09.26
SA
Parma1
Monza1
D
01.09.26
COP
Parma0
Cremonese2
L
29.08.26
SA
Juventus2
Parma0
L
22.08.26
SA
Parma0
Cagliari1
L
14.08.26
COP
Parma2
Catania0
W
09.08.26
CF
Parma0
Sampdoria2
L
02.08.26
CF
Parma1
Iraklis 19081
D
30.07.26
CF
Parma1
Arezzo1
D
25.07.26
CF
Sassuolo0
Parma (1-2)0
25.07.26
CF
Trento1
Parma (5-4)1
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this Italian Serie A fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is 1 at @1.34, a call we are confident in at roughly 60%. The fixture starts at 5:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are Italian Serie A predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 15 Sep 2026, 11:10am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Como vs Parma?
Our selection is 1 - Como to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 49%.
What is Como's current form?
Como have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Parma been performing recently?
Parma have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Como lead with 3 wins versus Parma's 3, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-0 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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