LOST Tip LOST Hamburger 1-0 Stuttgart

Hamburger vs Stuttgart - Prediction & Betting Tips

HHamburger 1-0 StuttgartS
2:30 pm .Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Home
WWWLL
3W 1D 6L
^ Improving
Away
WWWWL
7W 0D 3L
^ Improving
100SureTips SelectionSaturday, 17th October 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob
73%
Bookmaker implied
Our Edge
+11%
Value detected
Kelly %
40.8%
Suggested bankroll %
01Supporting Bets
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals85%Over 1.5 Goals95%
Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hamburger vs Stuttgart Competition: German Bundesliga Date: Saturday, 17th October 2026 KO: 2:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 84% Model Correct Score: 1-2 Also: Over 2.5 Goals (85%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%)
02Head to Head
3
Hamburger
1
Draws
6
Stuttgart
10
Meetings
4.1
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 90% of H2H.
03Stats Duel
Hamburger
Metric
Stuttgart
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.6
2.3
Goals Against / Game
1
0%
Clean Sheets
50%
3-1-6
W - D - L
7-0-3
Win Rate
30%
70%
3.9
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
04Correct Score Projection

Our most likely scorelines for this fixture, built from head-to-head history, home/away venue record and recent form, filtered to outcomes consistent with the published pick.

S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
H0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 6.3%
0-3 5.0%
0-4 3.0%
0-5 1.4%
H1
1-0 3.1%
1-1 7.5%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 7.1%
1-4 4.3%
1-5 2.0%
H2
2-0 2.2%
2-1 5.4%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 5.1%
2-4 3.1%
2-5 1.5%
H3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 2.6%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 2.4%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.7%
H4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.9%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.3%
H5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.3%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Projected Scores (consistent with the pick)
1-2 9.0% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-1 7.5% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
1-3 7.1% model probability . seen x1 in H2H
[ ] Best match [ ] Possible [ ] Low . blank = contradicts pick
06Team Ratings
Hamburger
Overall
3.3-
Scoring
6.0-
Defence
2.3-
Stuttgart
Overall
7.0v
Scoring
8.7v
Defence
6.7v
07Combination Markets
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes17%
Home Win & BTTS No12%
Draw & BTTS Yes3%
Draw & BTTS No2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes40%
Away Win & BTTS No26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.525%
Home Win & Under 2.54%
Draw & Over 2.54%
Draw & Under 2.51%
Away Win & Over 2.556%
Away Win & Under 2.510%
08Stake Calculator
-
Kelly %
-
Stake
-
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
09Match Archives
Head to Head
12.04.26
BUN
Stuttgart4
Hamburger SV0
30.11.25
BUN
Hamburger SV2
Stuttgart1
05.06.23
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart3
01.06.23
BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV0
26.08.20
CF
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
28.05.20
2BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
29.10.19
POK
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart2
26.10.19
2BUN
Hamburger SV6
Stuttgart2
31.03.18
BUN
Stuttgart1
Hamburger SV1
04.11.17
BUN
Hamburger SV3
Stuttgart1
Recent Form
Hamburger
12.04.26
BUN
Stuttgart4
Hamburger SV0
30.11.25
BUN
Hamburger SV2
Stuttgart1
05.06.23
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart3
01.06.23
BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV0
26.08.20
CF
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
28.05.20
2BUN
Stuttgart3
Hamburger SV2
29.10.19
POK
Hamburger SV1
Stuttgart2
26.10.19
2BUN
Hamburger SV6
Stuttgart2
31.03.18
BUN
Stuttgart1
Hamburger SV1
04.11.17
BUN
Hamburger SV3
Stuttgart1
Stuttgart
14.10.26
CL
Slovan Bratislava0
Stuttgart3
W
10.10.26
BUN
Paderborn0
Stuttgart2
W
01.10.26
CF
Stuttgart5
Greuther Furth0
W
25.09.26
CF
Stuttgart3
Heidenheim0
W
19.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart0
Dortmund1
L
12.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Stuttgart1
L
09.09.26
CL
Stuttgart3
Viking1
W
04.09.26
BUN
Stuttgart4
FC Koln1
W
28.08.26
BUN
Bayern Munich5
Stuttgart1
L
21.08.26
POK
Hansa Rostock0
Stuttgart4
W
Hamburger (Home)
04.10.26
CF
Hamburger SV2
FC Copenhagen0
W
19.09.26
BUN
Hamburger SV2
FC Koln1
W
06.09.26
BUN
Hamburger SV0
Mainz5
L
08.08.26
CF
Hamburger SV2
Lille2
D
01.08.26
CF
Hamburger SV1
Everton2
L
10.05.26
BUN
Hamburger SV3
Freiburg2
W
25.04.26
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Hoffenheim2
L
04.04.26
BUN
Hamburger SV1
Augsburg1
D
14.03.26
BUN
Hamburger SV1
FC Koln1
D
04.03.26
BUN
Hamburger SV0
Bayer Leverkusen1
L
Stuttgart (Away)
14.10.26
CL
Slovan Bratislava0
Stuttgart3
W
10.10.26
BUN
Paderborn0
Stuttgart2
W
12.09.26
BUN
Hoffenheim2
Stuttgart1
L
28.08.26
BUN
Bayern Munich5
Stuttgart1
L
21.08.26
POK
Hansa Rostock0
Stuttgart4
W
15.08.26
CF
Fulham1
Stuttgart0
L
29.07.26
CF
Offenbach1
Stuttgart8
W
25.07.26
CF
Hollenbach0
Stuttgart5
W
19.07.26
CF
Balingen0
Stuttgart7
W
23.05.26
POK
Bayern Munich3
Stuttgart0
L
10Match Analysis

Football advice comes at you from every direction now — social tipsters, prediction bots, group chats, endless short videos. Most of it is noise. The signal, the part that genuinely sharpens your decisions, comes from the same place it always has: an unhurried look at what both teams have actually been doing, set against the price on offer. Here is that look, applied to this German Bundesliga fixture.

The home team’s recent record stands at 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We read those recent games not just as results but as patterns. Are they consistently scoring first at home? Are they closing out the matches they control, or letting points slip from winning positions? The pattern inside the results tells you whether the form is sturdy or brittle — and at Volksparkstadion (Hamburg), that difference often decides everything.

The visitors arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We lean on the recent away record to gauge what kind of travelling side they currently are: organised and hard to break down, or prone to losing their shape when the first half hour does not go to plan? Recent away outings answer that directly, with little room for spin.

With both sides weighed, our recommended bet is Over 2.5 at @1.37, a call we are confident in at roughly 80%. The fixture starts at 2:30 pm.

That is the signal, cut free of the noise. The bettors who last are not the ones chasing every loud shout; they are the ones quietly trusting their own reading of the recent evidence, week after week, regardless of the noise around them. Run through our other tips for the day before you finalise your selections — the strongest slips usually draw on more than a single read.

 

Frequently Asked Questions

How is the "" prediction calculated?

Our tip combines recent team form, head-to-head history, and league-adjusted expected goals. It reflects the most statistically supported outcome, not a guarantee.

How accurate are German Bundesliga predictions on this site?

Our editorial team scores every published tip against the final result to continuously refine our methodology and quality standards.

Is this prediction financial or betting advice?

No. This content is for informational and entertainment purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your means.

11Reviewed By
T
The 100SureTips Analyst Desk
Senior Football Prediction Analyst
This fixture was analysed using head-to-head history, venue-specific form and recent results. Every published tip is tracked through to a settled result - see our full methodology for how selections are made.
Analysis last verified 19 Oct 2026, 8:22am
12Quick Answers
What is the recommended bet for Hamburger vs Stuttgart?
Our selection is Over 2.5 - over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 84%.
What is Hamburger's current form?
Hamburger have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Stuttgart been performing recently?
Stuttgart have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hamburger lead with 3 wins versus Stuttgart's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
What is the most likely correct score?
Our data-weighted model projects 1-2 as the most probable scoreline consistent with this pick, built from head-to-head, home/away venue form and recent results.
!
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